Season projection beta
Where each club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings; darker is more likely. Rating is strength relative to the league average, xPos the expected finish. League table is what has happened; Projection is what the market expects from here. Experimental — see the methodology.

Premier League

Who will win the Premier League this season?Who is the strongest team in the Premier League?Who will be relegated from the Premier League this season?

#	Team	Rating	xPos	Title	Top 4	Rel
1	Arsenal	+0.79	1.5	55%	100%	–
2	Manchester City	+0.66	1.7	42%	99%	–
3	Liverpool	+0.38	4.0	2%	73%	–
4	Chelsea	+0.30	5.1	–	47%	–
5	Brighton	+0.19	5.1	–	47%	–
6	Brentford	+0.08	8.5	–	8%	1%
7	Bournemouth	+0.06	9.3	–	6%	1%
8	Aston Villa	+0.00	9.4	–	5%	1%
9	Manchester Utd	+0.15	9.7	–	5%	1%
10	Tottenham	+0.04	10.2	–	4%	2%
11	Leeds	-0.06	10.4	–	3%	2%
12	Newcastle	-0.03	10.6	–	3%	3%
13	Everton	-0.12	12.1	–	1%	6%
14	Fulham	-0.16	14.0	–	–	15%
15	Nottingham Forest	-0.14	14.2	–	–	17%
16	Sunderland	-0.20	15.0	–	–	24%
17	Crystal Palace	-0.29	15.8	–	–	33%
18	Ipswich	-0.46	16.5	–	–	42%
19	Coventry	-0.51	18.2	–	–	73%
20	Hull	-0.71	18.5	–	–	79%

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Rating
1	Manchester City	8	7	0	1	20	9	+11	21	+0.66
2	Arsenal	8	7	0	1	13	5	+8	21	+0.79
3	Brighton	8	5	1	2	23	7	+16	16	+0.19
4	Liverpool	8	4	3	1	11	8	+3	15	+0.38
5	Chelsea	8	4	1	3	17	15	+2	13	+0.30
6	Brentford	8	2	5	1	14	9	+5	11	+0.08
7	Leeds	8	2	5	1	9	6	+3	11	-0.06
8	Newcastle	8	3	2	3	12	14	-2	11	-0.03
9	Aston Villa	8	3	2	3	9	12	-3	11	+0.00
10	Hull	8	2	4	2	9	8	+1	10	-0.71
11	Everton	8	2	4	2	8	9	-1	10	-0.12
12	Ipswich	8	3	1	4	12	16	-4	10	-0.46
13	Bournemouth	8	2	3	3	12	13	-1	9	+0.06
14	Tottenham	8	2	3	3	8	10	-2	9	+0.04
15	Fulham	8	2	2	4	8	10	-2	8	-0.16
16	Manchester Utd	8	1	4	3	10	13	-3	7	+0.15
17	Crystal Palace	8	2	1	5	9	19	-10	7	-0.29
18	Nottingham Forest	8	1	3	4	6	10	-4	6	-0.14
19	Coventry	8	2	0	6	6	15	-9	6	-0.51
20	Sunderland	8	1	2	5	6	14	-8	5	-0.20

League strength
The average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale — every club rating and trend line above is relative to it. Hover the trend for where the season started.

#	League	Level
1	Premier League20 clubs	+0.70
2	La Liga20 clubs	+0.33
3	Bundesliga18 clubs	+0.23
4	Serie A20 clubs	+0.16
5	Ligue 118 clubs	+0.06
6	Primeira Liga18 clubs	-0.42
7	Eredivisie18 clubs	-0.46

La Liga

Who will win La Liga this season?Who is the strongest team in La Liga?Who will be relegated from La Liga this season?

#	Team	Rating	xPos	Title	Top 4	Rel
1	Barcelona	+1.06	1.3	76%	100%	–
2	Real Madrid	+0.94	1.9	22%	100%	–
3	Atletico Madrid	+0.54	3.0	1%	98%	–
4	Real Betis	+0.14	5.3	–	43%	–
5	Athletic Bilbao	+0.22	6.3	–	23%	–
6	Real Sociedad	+0.04	6.7	–	16%	–
7	Villarreal	+0.21	7.3	–	11%	–
8	Sevilla	-0.05	7.9	–	7%	–
9	Celta Vigo	-0.03	10.2	–	1%	2%
10	Alaves	-0.11	11.5	–	1%	5%
11	Rayo Vallecano	-0.14	12.4	–	–	9%
12	Osasuna	-0.24	13.4	–	–	15%
13	Levante	-0.33	14.2	–	–	20%
14	La Coruna	-0.32	14.7	–	–	24%
15	Espanyol	-0.22	14.7	–	–	25%
16	Elche	-0.38	14.8	–	–	26%
17	Santander	-0.33	15.1	–	–	29%
18	Valencia	-0.20	15.2	–	–	30%
19	Getafe	-0.33	15.7	–	–	35%
20	Malaga	-0.49	18.6	–	–	79%

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Rating
1	Barcelona	10	9	0	1	40	11	+29	27	+1.06
2	Atletico Madrid	10	8	1	1	20	8	+12	25	+0.54
3	Real Madrid	10	8	0	2	25	10	+15	24	+0.94
4	Real Betis	10	6	2	2	16	14	+2	20	+0.14
5	Real Sociedad	10	6	1	3	19	18	+1	19	+0.04
6	Sevilla	10	5	2	3	16	16	0	17	-0.05
7	Alaves	10	3	3	4	14	11	+3	12	-0.11
8	Athletic Bilbao	9	3	3	3	12	9	+3	12	+0.22
9	Celta Vigo	10	2	6	2	10	7	+3	12	-0.03
10	Villarreal	10	3	3	4	15	14	+1	12	+0.21
11	La Coruna	10	2	5	3	13	13	0	11	-0.32
12	Osasuna	10	3	2	5	10	20	-10	11	-0.24
13	Santander	10	3	2	5	15	26	-11	11	-0.33
14	Levante	10	2	4	4	16	19	-3	10	-0.33
15	Elche	10	2	4	4	14	17	-3	10	-0.38
16	Rayo Vallecano	9	2	3	4	12	20	-8	9	-0.14
17	Getafe	10	2	3	5	5	15	-10	9	-0.33
18	Espanyol	10	2	2	6	12	14	-2	8	-0.22
19	Valencia	10	1	3	6	7	17	-10	6	-0.20
20	Malaga	10	0	5	5	7	19	-12	5	-0.49

League strength
The average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale — every club rating and trend line above is relative to it. Hover the trend for where the season started.

#	League	Level
1	Premier League20 clubs	+0.70
2	La Liga20 clubs	+0.33
3	Bundesliga18 clubs	+0.23
4	Serie A20 clubs	+0.16
5	Ligue 118 clubs	+0.06
6	Primeira Liga18 clubs	-0.42
7	Eredivisie18 clubs	-0.46

Serie A

Who will win Serie A this season?Who is the strongest team in Serie A?Who will be relegated from Serie A this season?

#	Team	Rating	xPos	Title	Top 4	Rel
1	Inter	+0.79	1.5	72%	98%	–
2	Roma	+0.55	3.1	12%	81%	–
3	AC Milan	+0.50	3.9	6%	65%	–
4	Como	+0.50	3.9	6%	64%	–
5	Juventus	+0.63	4.3	4%	56%	–
6	Lazio	+0.07	6.2	1%	18%	–
7	Napoli	+0.37	6.4	–	15%	–
8	Atalanta	+0.14	8.7	–	2%	–
9	Frosinone	-0.25	11.1	–	–	2%
10	Bologna	-0.04	11.4	–	–	3%
11	Fiorentina	+0.02	11.9	–	–	4%
12	Torino	-0.28	12.2	–	–	4%
13	Sassuolo	-0.21	13.0	–	–	8%
14	Cagliari	-0.39	13.5	–	–	10%
15	Genoa	-0.25	14.4	–	–	17%
16	Udinese	-0.28	16.1	–	–	36%
17	Venezia	-0.29	16.5	–	–	43%
18	Lecce	-0.53	16.5	–	–	43%
19	Monza	-0.43	16.7	–	–	46%
20	Parma	-0.62	18.8	–	–	82%

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Rating
1	Inter	8	7	1	0	23	10	+13	22	+0.79
2	Lazio	8	7	1	0	16	5	+11	22	+0.07
3	Roma	8	5	3	0	19	6	+13	18	+0.55
4	AC Milan	8	5	3	0	16	7	+9	18	+0.50
5	Como	8	5	2	1	14	7	+7	17	+0.50
6	Frosinone	8	4	2	2	17	13	+4	14	-0.25
7	Juventus	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14	+0.63
8	Torino	8	4	1	3	13	11	+2	13	-0.28
9	Cagliari	8	4	1	3	6	9	-3	13	-0.39
10	Napoli	8	3	2	3	13	10	+3	11	+0.37
11	Atalanta	8	3	1	4	14	15	-1	10	+0.14
12	Lecce	8	3	0	5	9	14	-5	9	-0.53
13	Bologna	8	2	2	4	8	10	-2	8	-0.04
14	Sassuolo	8	2	2	4	12	16	-4	8	-0.21
15	Monza	8	2	1	5	15	18	-3	7	-0.43
16	Genoa	8	2	1	5	6	13	-7	7	-0.25
17	Udinese	8	1	1	6	9	18	-9	4	-0.28
18	Fiorentina	8	1	1	6	9	19	-10	4	+0.02
19	Parma	8	1	1	6	5	15	-10	4	-0.62
20	Venezia	8	1	0	7	6	17	-11	3	-0.29

League strength
The average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale — every club rating and trend line above is relative to it. Hover the trend for where the season started.

#	League	Level
1	Premier League20 clubs	+0.70
2	La Liga20 clubs	+0.33
3	Bundesliga18 clubs	+0.23
4	Serie A20 clubs	+0.16
5	Ligue 118 clubs	+0.06
6	Primeira Liga18 clubs	-0.42
7	Eredivisie18 clubs	-0.46

Bundesliga

Who will win the Bundesliga this season?Who is the strongest team in the Bundesliga?Who will be relegated from the Bundesliga this season?

#	Team	Rating	xPos	Title	Top 4	Rel
1	Bayern Munich	+1.13	1.0	98%	100%	–
2	Dortmund	+0.48	2.7	2%	92%	–
3	Leverkusen	+0.44	3.4	–	82%	–
4	RB Leipzig	+0.26	4.9	–	50%	–
5	Stuttgart	+0.32	6.0	–	27%	–
6	Freiburg	+0.08	6.4	–	22%	–
7	Hoffenheim	+0.17	6.9	–	17%	–
8	Mainz	+0.01	8.9	–	5%	1%
9	Werder Bremen	-0.21	10.2	–	2%	3%
10	Ein Frankfurt	-0.10	10.7	–	2%	4%
11	Augsburg	-0.23	11.9	–	1%	8%
12	Elversberg	-0.34	12.6	–	–	12%
13	FC Koln	-0.22	12.6	–	–	12%
14	Schalke 04	-0.26	13.6	–	–	21%
15	Hamburg	-0.39	13.7	–	–	21%
16	Paderborn	-0.44	14.9	–	–	36%
17	M'gladbach	-0.27	15.0	–	–	37%
18	Union Berlin	-0.43	15.4	–	–	45%

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Rating
1	Bayern Munich	7	5	2	0	25	6	+19	17	+1.13
2	Dortmund	7	5	2	0	12	4	+8	17	+0.48
3	Freiburg	7	4	1	2	16	9	+7	13	+0.08
4	Leverkusen	7	4	1	2	16	12	+4	13	+0.44
5	RB Leipzig	7	4	0	3	20	11	+9	12	+0.26
6	Werder Bremen	7	3	3	1	15	14	+1	12	-0.21
7	Mainz	7	3	1	3	16	13	+3	10	+0.01
8	Elversberg	7	3	1	3	12	15	-3	10	-0.34
9	Augsburg	7	2	3	2	17	13	+4	9	-0.23
10	Hoffenheim	7	3	0	4	14	14	0	9	+0.17
11	Hamburg	7	3	0	4	6	16	-10	9	-0.39
12	FC Koln	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8	-0.22
13	Paderborn	7	2	2	3	6	9	-3	8	-0.44
14	Ein Frankfurt	7	2	2	3	10	17	-7	8	-0.10
15	Stuttgart	7	2	0	5	10	13	-3	6	+0.32
16	Schalke 04	7	1	3	3	4	7	-3	6	-0.26
17	Union Berlin	7	1	3	3	6	18	-12	6	-0.43
18	M'gladbach	7	1	0	6	11	22	-11	3	-0.27

League strength
The average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale — every club rating and trend line above is relative to it. Hover the trend for where the season started.

#	League	Level
1	Premier League20 clubs	+0.70
2	La Liga20 clubs	+0.33
3	Bundesliga18 clubs	+0.23
4	Serie A20 clubs	+0.16
5	Ligue 118 clubs	+0.06
6	Primeira Liga18 clubs	-0.42
7	Eredivisie18 clubs	-0.46

Ligue 1

Who will win Ligue 1 this season?Who is the strongest team in Ligue 1?Who will be relegated from Ligue 1 this season?

#	Team	Rating	xPos	Title	Top 4	Rel
1	Paris SG	+1.07	1.0	99%	100%	–
2	Monaco	+0.30	4.2	1%	63%	–
3	Rennes	+0.21	5.0	–	49%	–
4	Lyon	+0.23	5.1	–	46%	–
5	Lille	+0.22	5.4	–	42%	–
6	Lens	+0.27	5.6	–	38%	–
7	Marseille	+0.18	6.5	–	27%	–
8	Paris FC	+0.13	6.5	–	25%	–
9	Nice	-0.07	10.3	–	3%	1%
10	Toulouse	-0.03	10.4	–	3%	1%
11	Strasbourg	-0.05	10.7	–	2%	2%
12	Lorient	-0.21	11.4	–	1%	2%
13	Brest	-0.15	11.9	–	1%	4%
14	Auxerre	-0.38	14.1	–	–	16%
15	Le Mans	-0.41	14.9	–	–	27%
16	Angers	-0.48	15.6	–	–	40%
17	Troyes	-0.42	15.8	–	–	44%
18	Le Havre	-0.42	16.6	–	–	63%

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Rating
1	Paris SG	8	5	2	1	16	9	+7	17	+1.07
2	Rennes	8	5	1	2	18	14	+4	16	+0.21
3	Lille	8	4	3	1	11	6	+5	15	+0.22
4	Monaco	8	4	3	1	11	7	+4	15	+0.30
5	Lyon	8	4	2	2	13	7	+6	14	+0.23
6	Paris FC	8	4	2	2	13	9	+4	14	+0.13
7	Lens	8	4	1	3	16	12	+4	13	+0.27
8	Marseille	8	4	0	4	18	13	+5	12	+0.18
9	Lorient	8	3	3	2	7	6	+1	12	-0.21
10	Nice	8	3	2	3	8	10	-2	11	-0.07
11	Toulouse	8	2	4	2	12	11	+1	10	-0.03
12	Auxerre	8	3	1	4	12	18	-6	10	-0.38
13	Brest	8	2	3	3	14	12	+2	9	-0.15
14	Angers	8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	-0.48
15	Le Mans	8	1	4	3	11	16	-5	7	-0.41
16	Strasbourg	8	2	1	5	12	18	-6	7	-0.05
17	Troyes	8	1	2	5	5	16	-11	5	-0.42
18	Le Havre	8	0	2	6	8	15	-7	2	-0.42

League strength
The average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale — every club rating and trend line above is relative to it. Hover the trend for where the season started.

#	League	Level
1	Premier League20 clubs	+0.70
2	La Liga20 clubs	+0.33
3	Bundesliga18 clubs	+0.23
4	Serie A20 clubs	+0.16
5	Ligue 118 clubs	+0.06
6	Primeira Liga18 clubs	-0.42
7	Eredivisie18 clubs	-0.46

Primeira Liga

Who will win the Primeira Liga this season?Who is the strongest team in the Primeira Liga?Who will be relegated from the Primeira Liga this season?

#	Team	Rating	xPos	Title	Top 4	Rel
1	Benfica	+1.20	1.6	49%	100%	–
2	Porto	+1.01	1.7	46%	100%	–
3	Sp Lisbon	+0.95	2.8	4%	100%	–
4	Sp Braga	+0.51	4.6	–	65%	–
5	Santa Clara	-0.07	6.7	–	13%	–
6	Academico Viseu	-0.27	8.0	–	5%	–
7	Gil Vicente	-0.11	8.2	–	5%	–
8	Famalicao	+0.11	8.4	–	4%	–
9	Arouca	-0.25	8.4	–	4%	–
10	Guimaraes	+0.08	9.2	–	3%	1%
11	Alverca	-0.20	10.4	–	1%	2%
12	Estrela	-0.32	12.7	–	–	9%
13	Maritimo	-0.39	13.8	–	–	18%
14	Moreirense	-0.56	13.8	–	–	18%
15	Rio Ave	-0.43	14.7	–	–	30%
16	Nacional	-0.44	14.8	–	–	31%
17	Estoril	-0.25	15.5	–	–	43%
18	Casa Pia	-0.57	15.7	–	–	46%

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Rating
1	Porto	9	9	0	0	21	4	+17	27	+1.01
2	Benfica	9	7	1	1	26	8	+18	22	+1.20
3	Sp Lisbon	9	5	3	1	21	11	+10	18	+0.95
4	Santa Clara	9	5	3	1	13	6	+7	18	-0.07
5	Arouca	9	5	2	2	12	7	+5	17	-0.25
6	Academico Viseu	9	5	2	2	13	11	+2	17	-0.27
7	Gil Vicente	9	4	2	3	8	7	+1	14	-0.11
8	Alverca	9	3	2	4	13	13	0	11	-0.20
9	Sp Braga	9	3	2	4	9	11	-2	11	+0.51
10	Moreirense	9	3	2	4	11	16	-5	11	-0.56
11	Famalicao	9	2	4	3	14	11	+3	10	+0.11
12	Estrela	9	2	4	3	14	17	-3	10	-0.32
13	Guimaraes	9	2	2	5	10	10	0	8	+0.08
14	Maritimo	9	2	2	5	9	19	-10	8	-0.39
15	Nacional	9	2	1	6	10	18	-8	7	-0.44
16	Casa Pia	9	2	1	6	5	17	-12	7	-0.57
17	Rio Ave	9	2	1	6	8	21	-13	7	-0.43
18	Estoril	9	0	2	7	5	15	-10	2	-0.25

League strength
The average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale — every club rating and trend line above is relative to it. Hover the trend for where the season started.

#	League	Level
1	Premier League20 clubs	+0.70
2	La Liga20 clubs	+0.33
3	Bundesliga18 clubs	+0.23
4	Serie A20 clubs	+0.16
5	Ligue 118 clubs	+0.06
6	Primeira Liga18 clubs	-0.42
7	Eredivisie18 clubs	-0.46

Eredivisie

Who will win the Eredivisie this season?Who is the strongest team in the Eredivisie?Who will be relegated from the Eredivisie this season?

#	Team	Rating	xPos	Title	Top 4	Rel
1	Feyenoord	+0.71	2.0	45%	96%	–
2	PSV Eindhoven	+0.73	2.3	32%	94%	–
3	Ajax	+0.63	3.2	12%	82%	–
4	Twente	+0.58	3.6	8%	73%	–
5	AZ Alkmaar	+0.48	4.3	3%	51%	–
6	Groningen	+0.04	7.7	–	1%	–
7	Heerenveen	+0.05	7.7	–	1%	–
8	Nijmegen	+0.11	9.3	–	–	–
9	Go Ahead Eagles	-0.05	9.3	–	–	–
10	Utrecht	-0.04	9.5	–	–	–
11	For Sittard	-0.40	10.6	–	–	1%
12	Excelsior	-0.24	12.1	–	–	3%
13	Sparta Rotterdam	-0.23	12.8	–	–	6%
14	Zwolle	-0.41	14.5	–	–	21%
15	Cambuur	-0.54	14.7	–	–	22%
16	Telstar	-0.37	14.8	–	–	25%
17	Den Haag	-0.38	14.9	–	–	28%
18	Willem II	-0.67	17.7	–	–	93%

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Rating
1	Feyenoord	10	7	3	0	32	11	+21	24	+0.71
2	Ajax	10	6	3	1	29	13	+16	21	+0.63
3	PSV Eindhoven	10	6	2	2	28	13	+15	20	+0.73
4	Twente	10	6	2	2	19	10	+9	20	+0.58
5	AZ Alkmaar	10	6	2	2	20	12	+8	20	+0.48
6	For Sittard	10	5	3	2	17	17	0	18	-0.40
7	Heerenveen	10	4	3	3	18	13	+5	15	+0.05
8	Groningen	10	4	3	3	24	21	+3	15	+0.04
9	Go Ahead Eagles	10	3	5	2	23	23	0	14	-0.05
10	Cambuur	10	3	3	4	19	22	-3	12	-0.54
11	Utrecht	10	3	3	4	17	27	-10	12	-0.04
12	Nijmegen	10	2	5	3	17	18	-1	11	+0.11
13	Excelsior	10	3	2	5	16	19	-3	11	-0.24
14	Sparta Rotterdam	10	2	3	5	17	24	-7	9	-0.23
15	Zwolle	10	2	2	6	11	23	-12	8	-0.41
16	Telstar	10	1	3	6	12	21	-9	6	-0.37
17	Den Haag	10	1	3	6	13	23	-10	6	-0.38
18	Willem II	10	0	2	8	10	32	-22	2	-0.67

League strength
The average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale — every club rating and trend line above is relative to it. Hover the trend for where the season started.

#	League	Level
1	Premier League20 clubs	+0.70
2	La Liga20 clubs	+0.33
3	Bundesliga18 clubs	+0.23
4	Serie A20 clubs	+0.16
5	Ligue 118 clubs	+0.06
6	Primeira Liga18 clubs	-0.42
7	Eredivisie18 clubs	-0.46

Premier League

League strength iThe average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale — every club rating and trend line above is relative to it. Hover the trend for where the season started.

La Liga

League strength iThe average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale — every club rating and trend line above is relative to it. Hover the trend for where the season started.

Serie A

League strength iThe average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale — every club rating and trend line above is relative to it. Hover the trend for where the season started.

Bundesliga

League strength iThe average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale — every club rating and trend line above is relative to it. Hover the trend for where the season started.

Ligue 1

League strength iThe average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale — every club rating and trend line above is relative to it. Hover the trend for where the season started.

Primeira Liga

League strength iThe average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale — every club rating and trend line above is relative to it. Hover the trend for where the season started.

Eredivisie

League strength iThe average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale — every club rating and trend line above is relative to it. Hover the trend for where the season started.

The market knows first.

League strength
The average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale — every club rating and trend line above is relative to it. Hover the trend for where the season started.

League strength
The average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale — every club rating and trend line above is relative to it. Hover the trend for where the season started.

League strength
The average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale — every club rating and trend line above is relative to it. Hover the trend for where the season started.

League strength
The average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale — every club rating and trend line above is relative to it. Hover the trend for where the season started.

League strength
The average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale — every club rating and trend line above is relative to it. Hover the trend for where the season started.

League strength
The average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale — every club rating and trend line above is relative to it. Hover the trend for where the season started.

League strength
The average rating of each league's clubs on the global scale — every club rating and trend line above is relative to it. Hover the trend for where the season started.