Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Brighton

Premier League
Rating+0.90
In league+0.19vs league average
Attack+0.46
Defence+0.44
Global rank10of 132 · ▲1 this week
League rank5of 20
Games priced160

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Brighton’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Brighton moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos5.1
Title–
Top 447%
Relegation–
Played8
Points16
Goals23–7+16
15101520

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-25Premier LeagueALiverpool2–0L
10-22UEFA Europa Conference LeagueAJablonecnot priced yet0–0D
10-18Premier LeagueHCrystal Palace5–0W
10-15UEFA Europa Conference LeagueHKauno Zalgirisnot priced yet4–0W
10-10Premier LeagueASunderland0–2W
09-19Premier LeagueHArsenal3–0W
09-13Premier LeagueACoventry0–5W
09-05Premier LeagueHLeeds1–1D
08-30Premier LeagueAChelsea4–3L
08-23Premier LeagueHAston Villa4–0W
05-24Premier LeagueHManchester Utd0–3L
05-17Premier LeagueALeeds1–0L
05-09Premier LeagueHWolves3–0W
05-02Premier LeagueANewcastle3–1L
04-21Premier LeagueHChelsea3–0W

Latest 15 of 39 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-31Premier LeagueAManchester City+1.37
11-08Premier LeagueHBrentford+0.78
11-22Premier LeagueAHull-0.01
11-29Premier LeagueHNewcastle+0.68
12-02Premier LeagueABournemouth+0.76
12-05Premier LeagueANottingham Forest+0.56

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-14 SuspensionPascal Struijk — Pascal Struijk has his red card rescinded and suspension overturned on appeal.
09-01 Transfer inChema Andrés — Chema Andrés transferred from Eintracht Frankfurt to Brighton.
08-25 Transfer outCarlos Baleba — Brighton have sold midfielder Carlos Baleba to Manchester United.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.