Bayes FC

team ratings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Arsenal

Premier League
Rating+1.49
In league+0.82vs league average
Attack+0.65
Defence+0.85
Global rank1of 132
League rank1of 20
Games priced164

Strength over time

Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, all relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league. A whole league moving up or down does not show here; see leagues for that. Dots are results. Marks along the foot are club news; they never move the rating.

+0.2+0.4+0.6+0.81 Feb30 May12 SepWWWWWWWWLLWWWWDDW
RatingAttackDefenceWin / draw / lossClub news

Season projection beta

Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker = more likely. Experimental — see methodology.

xPos1.6
Title55%
Top 499%
Relegation
Played3
Points9
Goals6–1+5
15101520

Recent results

Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating above has not seen it — the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
09-06Premier LeagueHChelsea2–1W
08-31Premier LeagueAAston Villa0–1W
08-21Premier LeagueHCoventry3–0W
05-24Premier LeagueACrystal Palace1–2W
05-18Premier LeagueHBurnley1–0W
05-10Premier LeagueAWest Ham0–1W
05-02Premier LeagueHFulham3–0W
04-25Premier LeagueHNewcastle1–0W
04-19Premier LeagueAManchester City2–1L
04-11Premier LeagueHBournemouth1–2L
03-14Premier LeagueHEverton2–0W
03-04Premier LeagueABrighton0–1W
03-01Premier LeagueHChelsea2–1W
02-22Premier LeagueATottenham1–4W
02-18Premier LeagueAWolves2–2D

Showing the most recent 15 of 38 on record.

Upcoming

The next fixtures on the schedule, each shaded by how strong the opponent is — a darker cell is a harder game. The shading runs on one scale across every league, so two clubs’ runs can be compared directly. An opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side) prints a dash.

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
09-12Premier LeagueASunderland+0.38
09-19Premier LeagueABrighton+0.80
10-10Premier LeagueHLeeds+0.54
10-13UEFA Champions LeagueHLille+0.46
10-18Premier LeagueANottingham Forest+0.48
10-24Premier LeagueHEverton+0.52

Club news

What the daily news sweep recorded about this club.

DateTypeHeadline
09-04 ReturnJurrien Timber — Jurrien Timber returned to first team training after recovering from a groin injury.
09-04 InjuryCristhian Mosquera — Cristhian Mosquera underwent assessment for a hamstring issue sustained against Aston Villa.
09-01 Transfer outGabriel Jesus — Gabriel Jesus transferred to Barcelona.
08-28 Transfer inIgor Tyjon — Arsenal signed forward Igor Tyjon from Blackburn Rovers.
08-21 Transfer inEzri Konsa — Arsenal completed the signing of Ezri Konsa from Aston Villa.

Club news is assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. It is descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and it is unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

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