Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Tottenham

Premier League
Rating+0.75
In league+0.04vs league average
Attack+0.38
Defence+0.36
Global rank17of 132 · ▼1 this week
League rank9of 20
Games priced164

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Tottenham’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Tottenham moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos10.2
Title–
Top 44%
Relegation2%
Played8
Points9
Goals8–10-2
15101520

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-24Premier LeagueAChelsea0–2W
10-19Premier LeagueHCoventry3–1W
10-10Premier LeagueAManchester Utd1–1D
09-19Premier LeagueHAston Villa2–3L
09-12Premier LeagueHEverton0–0D
09-05Premier LeagueANottingham Forest0–0D
08-29Premier LeagueHNewcastle0–2L
08-22Premier LeagueABrentford3–0L
05-24Premier LeagueHEverton1–0W
05-19Premier LeagueAChelsea2–1L
05-11Premier LeagueHLeeds1–1D
05-03Premier LeagueAAston Villa1–2W
04-25Premier LeagueAWolves0–1W
04-18Premier LeagueHBrighton2–2D
04-12Premier LeagueASunderland1–0L

Latest 15 of 44 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-31Premier LeagueHCrystal Palace+0.41
11-07Premier LeagueALeeds+0.64
11-21Premier LeagueHIpswich+0.24
11-29Premier LeagueASunderland+0.50
12-03Premier LeagueHFulham+0.55
12-06Premier LeagueHArsenal+1.50

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
09-24 learnedInjuryPedro Porro — Pedro Porro was ruled out for approximately four weeks with a hamstring injury.
09-23 learnedInjuryPedro Porro — Pedro Porro suffered a hamstring injury expected to sideline him for around a month.
09-15 InjurySandro Tonali — Sandro Tonali was ruled out of the fixture against Liverpool due to injury.
09-15 ReturnPedro Porro — Pedro Porro returned to availability following a strain.
09-12 InjuryMykhailo Mudryk — Mykhailo Mudryk was ruled out of action after suffering an ankle injury in training.
09-09 InjuryMykhailo Mudryk — Mykhailo Mudryk suffered an ankle injury in training and is ruled out for six to eight weeks.
09-01 Transfer inMykhailo Mudryk — Mykhailo Mudryk joined Tottenham on loan from Chelsea.
09-01 Transfer inTosin Adarabioyo — Tosin Adarabioyo transferred from Chelsea to Tottenham.
09-01 Transfer outPape Matar Sarr — Pape Matar Sarr joined Juventus on loan.
08-25 learnedInjuryJames Maddison — James Maddison has suffered a shoulder fracture and is expected to miss up to two weeks.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.