Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Brentford

Premier League
Rating+0.78
In league+0.08vs league average
Attack+0.42
Defence+0.36
Global rank14of 132
League rank7of 20
Games priced160

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Brentford’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Brentford moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos8.5
Title–
Top 48%
Relegation1%
Played8
Points11
Goals14–9+5
15101520

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-25Premier LeagueAHull1–1D
10-17Premier LeagueHLiverpool1–2L
10-10Premier LeagueAAston Villa2–2D
09-18Premier LeagueHChelsea3–0W
09-12Premier LeagueABournemouth2–2D
09-05Premier LeagueHSunderland1–1D
08-30Premier LeagueALeeds1–1D
08-22Premier LeagueHTottenham3–0W
05-24Premier LeagueALiverpool1–1D
05-17Premier LeagueHCrystal Palace2–2D
05-09Premier LeagueAManchester City3–0L
05-02Premier LeagueHWest Ham3–0W
04-27Premier LeagueAManchester Utd2–1L
04-18Premier LeagueHFulham0–0D
04-11Premier LeagueHEverton2–2D

Latest 15 of 37 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-31Premier LeagueHNottingham Forest+0.56
11-08Premier LeagueABrighton+0.90
11-23Premier LeagueHEverton+0.59
11-28Premier LeagueAManchester Utd+0.85
12-02Premier LeagueHArsenal+1.50
12-05Premier LeagueHManchester City+1.37

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-17 SuspensionYehor Yarmoliuk — Yehor Yarmoliuk received a straight red card for violent conduct against Liverpool.
10-17 SuspensionVitaly Janelt — Vitaly Janelt was sent off after receiving a second yellow card against Liverpool.
09-04 InjuryMathias Jensen — Mathias Jensen was ruled out due to injury.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.