Bayes FC

team ratings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Brentford

Premier League
Rating+0.73
In league+0.06vs league average
Attack+0.40
Defence+0.34
Global rank15of 132 · ▲1 this week
League rank7of 20
Games priced155

Strength over time

Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, all relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league. A whole league moving up or down does not show here; see leagues for that. Dots are results. Marks along the foot are club news; they never move the rating.

-0.2+0.0+0.21 Feb30 May12 SepDDWDDLWLDDDDDWLDWW
RatingAttackDefenceWin / draw / lossClub news

Season projection beta

Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker = more likely. Experimental — see methodology.

xPos8.7
Title
Top 49%
Relegation1%
Played3
Points5
Goals5–2+3
15101520

Recent results

Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating above has not seen it — the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
09-05Premier LeagueHSunderland1–1D
08-30Premier LeagueALeeds1–1D
08-22Premier LeagueHTottenham3–0W
05-24Premier LeagueALiverpool1–1D
05-17Premier LeagueHCrystal Palace2–2D
05-09Premier LeagueAManchester City3–0L
05-02Premier LeagueHWest Ham3–0W
04-27Premier LeagueAManchester Utd2–1L
04-18Premier LeagueHFulham0–0D
04-11Premier LeagueHEverton2–2D
03-21Premier LeagueALeeds0–0D
03-16Premier LeagueHWolves2–2D
03-03Premier LeagueABournemouth0–0D
02-28Premier LeagueABurnley3–4W
02-21Premier LeagueHBrighton0–2L

Showing the most recent 15 of 38 on record.

Upcoming

The next fixtures on the schedule, each shaded by how strong the opponent is — a darker cell is a harder game. The shading runs on one scale across every league, so two clubs’ runs can be compared directly. An opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side) prints a dash.

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
09-12Premier LeagueABournemouth+0.66
09-18Premier LeagueHChelsea+1.01
10-10Premier LeagueAAston Villa+0.66
10-17Premier LeagueHLiverpool+1.08
10-25Premier LeagueAHull-0.07

Club news

What the daily news sweep recorded about this club.

DateTypeHeadline
09-04 InjuryMathias Jensen — Mathias Jensen was ruled out due to injury.

Club news is assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. It is descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and it is unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

← All clubs · Global ladder

The market knows first. Now so do you.

Betting markets are the most accurate predictor in football. We distill them into team ratings and email you who’s climbing and who’s quietly falling.

Powered by Buttondown.