Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Fulham

Premier League
Rating+0.55
In league-0.16vs league average
Attack+0.26
Defence+0.29
Global rank30of 132 · ▲3 this week
League rank15of 20
Games priced160

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Fulham’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Fulham moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos14.0
Title–
Top 4–
Relegation15%
Played8
Points8
Goals8–10-2
15101520

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-24Premier LeagueACoventry0–1W
10-17Premier LeagueHHull1–0W
10-10Premier LeagueAIpswich2–1L
09-20Premier LeagueHManchester Utd1–1D
09-12Premier LeagueALiverpool0–0D
09-05Premier LeagueHCrystal Palace2–3L
08-30Premier LeagueASunderland1–0L
08-24Premier LeagueHChelsea2–3L
05-24Premier LeagueHNewcastle2–0W
05-17Premier LeagueAWolves1–1D
05-09Premier LeagueHBournemouth0–1L
05-02Premier LeagueAArsenal3–0L
04-25Premier LeagueHAston Villa1–0W
04-18Premier LeagueABrentford0–0D
04-11Premier LeagueALiverpool2–0L

Latest 15 of 37 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-31Premier LeagueAAston Villa+0.70
11-07Premier LeagueHNewcastle+0.68
11-21Premier LeagueAManchester City+1.37
11-29Premier LeagueHBournemouth+0.76
12-03Premier LeagueATottenham+0.75
12-06Premier LeagueAEverton+0.59

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
09-15 learnedInjuryRyan Sessegnon — Ryan Sessegnon was ruled out through injury.
09-01 Transfer inDavid Affengruber — David Affengruber transferred from Elche to Fulham.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.