Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Chelsea

Premier League
Rating+1.01
In league+0.30vs league average
Attack+0.55
Defence+0.46
Global rank8of 132
League rank4of 20
Games priced163

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Chelsea’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Chelsea moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos5.1
Title–
Top 447%
Relegation–
Played8
Points13
Goals17–15+2
15101520

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-24Premier LeagueHTottenham0–2L
10-17Premier LeagueAEverton0–2W
10-10Premier LeagueHBournemouth5–1W
09-18Premier LeagueABrentford3–0L
09-12Premier LeagueHHull2–2D
09-06Premier LeagueAArsenal2–1L
08-30Premier LeagueHBrighton4–3W
08-24Premier LeagueAFulham2–3W
05-24Premier LeagueASunderland2–1L
05-19Premier LeagueHTottenham2–1W
05-09Premier LeagueALiverpool1–1D
05-04Premier LeagueHNottingham Forest1–3L
04-21Premier LeagueABrighton3–0L
04-18Premier LeagueHManchester Utd0–1L
04-12Premier LeagueHManchester City0–3L

Latest 15 of 44 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-31Premier LeagueHManchester Utd+0.85
11-08Premier LeagueASunderland+0.50
11-21Premier LeagueHLeeds+0.64
11-27Premier LeagueANottingham Forest+0.56
12-02Premier LeagueHCrystal Palace+0.41
12-05Premier LeagueHLiverpool+1.09

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-24 SuspensionCole Palmer — Cole Palmer was sent off for two yellow cards against Tottenham.
10-17 InjuryEmiliano Martínez — Emiliano Martínez suffered a severe head/jaw injury and concussion requiring hospitalization and surgery after a collision against Everton.
10-10 ContractCole Palmer — Cole Palmer signed a contract extension keeping him at Chelsea until 2034.
09-16 InjuryJoao Pedro — Joao Pedro withdrew from the Brazil squad due to injury.
09-11 InjuryMoises Caicedo — Moises Caicedo was ruled out of Chelsea's fixture against Hull City.
09-01 Transfer outEnzo Fernández — Enzo Fernández transferred to Manchester City.
09-01 Transfer outTosin Adarabioyo — Tosin Adarabioyo transferred to Tottenham.
09-01 Transfer outMykhailo Mudryk — Mykhailo Mudryk joined Tottenham on loan.
08-30 Transfer inEmiliano Martínez — Chelsea signed goalkeeper Emiliano Martínez from Aston Villa on a three-year contract.
08-30 InjuryMoisés Caicedo — Chelsea midfielder Moisés Caicedo was substituted with an injury against Brighton.
08-28 Transfer outNicolas Jackson — Chelsea sold striker Nicolas Jackson to Aston Villa.
08-28 Transfer outCaleb Wiley — Chelsea loaned defender Caleb Wiley to Preston North End.
08-27 Transfer outLiam Delap — Chelsea sold Liam Delap to Nottingham Forest.
08-26 Transfer outAxel Disasi — Chelsea loaned defender Axel Disasi to Crystal Palace.
08-22 ContractJoão Pedro — João Pedro signed a new long-term contract at Chelsea until 2034.

Latest 15 of 16 on record

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.