Bayes FC

team ratings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Chelsea

Premier League
Rating+1.01
In league+0.33vs league average
Attack+0.55
Defence+0.46
Global rank8of 132 · ▲1 this week
League rank4of 20
Games priced158

Strength over time

Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, all relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league. A whole league moving up or down does not show here; see leagues for that. Dots are results. Marks along the foot are club news; they never move the rating.

+0.0+0.2+0.41 Feb30 May12 SepLWWLWDLLLLLLWLDDW
RatingAttackDefenceWin / draw / lossClub news

Season projection beta

Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker = more likely. Experimental — see methodology.

xPos4.5
Title2%
Top 461%
Relegation
Played3
Points6
Goals8–7+1
15101520

Recent results

Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating above has not seen it — the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
09-06Premier LeagueAArsenal2–1L
08-30Premier LeagueHBrighton4–3W
08-24Premier LeagueAFulham2–3W
05-24Premier LeagueASunderland2–1L
05-19Premier LeagueHTottenham2–1W
05-09Premier LeagueALiverpool1–1D
05-04Premier LeagueHNottingham Forest1–3L
04-21Premier LeagueABrighton3–0L
04-18Premier LeagueHManchester Utd0–1L
04-12Premier LeagueHManchester City0–3L
03-21Premier LeagueAEverton3–0L
03-14Premier LeagueHNewcastle0–1L
03-04Premier LeagueAAston Villa1–4W
03-01Premier LeagueAArsenal2–1L
02-21Premier LeagueHBurnley1–1D

Showing the most recent 15 of 38 on record.

Upcoming

The next fixtures on the schedule, each shaded by how strong the opponent is — a darker cell is a harder game. The shading runs on one scale across every league, so two clubs’ runs can be compared directly. An opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side) prints a dash.

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
09-12Premier LeagueHHull-0.07
09-18Premier LeagueABrentford+0.73
10-10Premier LeagueHBournemouth+0.66
10-17Premier LeagueAEverton+0.52
10-24Premier LeagueHTottenham+0.66

Club news

What the daily news sweep recorded about this club.

DateTypeHeadline
09-11 InjuryMoises Caicedo — Moises Caicedo was ruled out of Chelsea's fixture against Hull City.
09-01 Transfer outEnzo Fernández — Enzo Fernández transferred to Manchester City.
09-01 Transfer outTosin Adarabioyo — Tosin Adarabioyo transferred to Tottenham.
09-01 Transfer outMykhailo Mudryk — Mykhailo Mudryk joined Tottenham on loan.
08-30 Transfer inEmiliano Martínez — Chelsea signed goalkeeper Emiliano Martínez from Aston Villa on a three-year contract.
08-30 InjuryMoisés Caicedo — Chelsea midfielder Moisés Caicedo was substituted with an injury against Brighton.
08-28 Transfer outNicolas Jackson — Chelsea sold striker Nicolas Jackson to Aston Villa.
08-28 Transfer outCaleb Wiley — Chelsea loaned defender Caleb Wiley to Preston North End.
08-27 Transfer outLiam Delap — Chelsea sold Liam Delap to Nottingham Forest.
08-26 Transfer outAxel Disasi — Chelsea loaned defender Axel Disasi to Crystal Palace.
08-22 ContractJoão Pedro — João Pedro signed a new long-term contract at Chelsea until 2034.
08-22 Transfer outBenoît Badiashile — Benoît Badiashile joined Napoli on a season-long loan with a purchase option.

Club news is assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. It is descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and it is unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

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