Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Everton

Premier League
Rating+0.59
In league-0.12vs league average
Attack+0.25
Defence+0.34
Global rank27of 132
League rank13of 20
Games priced160

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Everton’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Everton moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

Powered by Buttondown.

Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos12.1
Title–
Top 41%
Relegation6%
Played8
Points10
Goals8–9-1
15101520

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-24Premier LeagueAArsenal2–0L
10-17Premier LeagueHChelsea0–2L
10-11Premier LeagueAHull2–2D
09-19Premier LeagueHIpswich1–0W
09-12Premier LeagueATottenham0–0D
09-06Premier LeagueHManchester Utd2–2D
08-29Premier LeagueABournemouth1–1D
08-22Premier LeagueHCrystal Palace2–0W
05-24Premier LeagueATottenham1–0L
05-17Premier LeagueHSunderland1–3L
05-10Premier LeagueACrystal Palace2–2D
05-04Premier LeagueHManchester City3–3D
04-25Premier LeagueAWest Ham2–1L
04-19Premier LeagueHLiverpool1–2L
04-11Premier LeagueABrentford2–2D

Latest 15 of 37 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
11-02Premier LeagueANewcastle+0.68
11-06Premier LeagueHCoventry+0.20
11-23Premier LeagueABrentford+0.78
11-29Premier LeagueHLiverpool+1.09
12-02Premier LeagueAAston Villa+0.70
12-06Premier LeagueHFulham+0.55

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
09-01 Transfer outIliman Ndiaye — Iliman Ndiaye transferred to Manchester City.
09-01 Transfer inJack Grealish — Jack Grealish joined Everton on loan from Manchester City.
09-01 Transfer inAinsley Maitland-Niles — Ainsley Maitland-Niles joined Everton from Lyon.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.