Bayes FC

team ratings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Everton

Premier League
Rating+0.52
In league-0.15vs league average
Attack+0.21
Defence+0.31
Global rank31of 132 · ▲2 this week
League rank13of 20
Games priced155

Strength over time

Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, all relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league. A whole league moving up or down does not show here; see leagues for that. Dots are results. Marks along the foot are club news; they never move the rating.

-0.2+0.01 Feb30 May12 SepDDWLLDDLLDWLWWLLW
RatingAttackDefenceWin / draw / lossClub news

Season projection beta

Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker = more likely. Experimental — see methodology.

xPos11.9
Title
Top 41%
Relegation6%
Played3
Points5
Goals5–3+2
15101520

Recent results

Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating above has not seen it — the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
09-06Premier LeagueHManchester Utd2–2D
08-29Premier LeagueABournemouth1–1D
08-22Premier LeagueHCrystal Palace2–0W
05-24Premier LeagueATottenham1–0L
05-17Premier LeagueHSunderland1–3L
05-10Premier LeagueACrystal Palace2–2D
05-04Premier LeagueHManchester City3–3D
04-25Premier LeagueAWest Ham2–1L
04-19Premier LeagueHLiverpool1–2L
04-11Premier LeagueABrentford2–2D
03-21Premier LeagueHChelsea3–0W
03-14Premier LeagueAArsenal2–0L
03-03Premier LeagueHBurnley2–0W
02-28Premier LeagueANewcastle2–3W
02-23Premier LeagueHManchester Utd0–1L

Showing the most recent 15 of 38 on record.

Upcoming

The next fixtures on the schedule, each shaded by how strong the opponent is — a darker cell is a harder game. The shading runs on one scale across every league, so two clubs’ runs can be compared directly. An opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side) prints a dash.

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
09-12Premier LeagueATottenham+0.66
09-19Premier LeagueHIpswich+0.22
10-11Premier LeagueAHull-0.07
10-17Premier LeagueHChelsea+1.01
10-24Premier LeagueAArsenal+1.49

Club news

What the daily news sweep recorded about this club.

DateTypeHeadline
09-01 Transfer outIliman Ndiaye — Iliman Ndiaye transferred to Manchester City.
09-01 Transfer inJack Grealish — Jack Grealish joined Everton on loan from Manchester City.
09-01 Transfer inAinsley Maitland-Niles — Ainsley Maitland-Niles joined Everton from Lyon.

Club news is assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. It is descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and it is unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

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