Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Manchester City

Premier League
Rating+1.37
In league+0.66vs league average
Attack+0.75
Defence+0.62
Global rank3of 132 · ▲1 this week
League rank2of 20
Games priced164

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Manchester City’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Manchester City moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos1.7
Title42%
Top 499%
Relegation–
Played8
Points21
Goals20–9+11
15101520

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-24Premier LeagueAAston Villa2–1L
10-20UEFA Champions LeagueHAEK Athens5–1W
10-17Premier LeagueHIpswich3–2W
10-14UEFA Champions LeagueHParis SG2–4L
10-11Premier LeagueALiverpool0–3W
09-20Premier LeagueHSunderland5–3W
09-13Premier LeagueAManchester Utd0–1W
09-08UEFA Champions LeagueAPorto0–2W
09-05Premier LeagueHCoventry1–0W
08-28Premier LeagueACrystal Palace1–4W
08-23Premier LeagueHBournemouth2–1W
05-24Premier LeagueHAston Villa1–2L
05-19Premier LeagueABournemouth1–1D
05-13Premier LeagueHCrystal Palace3–0W
05-09Premier LeagueHBrentford3–0W

Latest 15 of 47 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-31Premier LeagueHBrighton+0.90
11-04UEFA Champions LeagueARB Leipzig+0.49
11-07Premier LeagueANottingham Forest+0.56
11-21Premier LeagueHFulham+0.55
11-29Premier LeagueAArsenal+1.50
12-02Premier LeagueHLeeds+0.64
12-05Premier LeagueABrentford+0.78

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-01 InjuryNico O'Reilly — Nico O'Reilly withdrew from the England national team camp due to injury to undergo further assessment at Manchester City.
09-29 OtherAn independent Commission found Manchester City guilty of serious breaches of the Premier League's financial rules.
09-11 InjuryJeremy Doku — Jeremy Doku was ruled out of the Manchester derby due to a persistent calf injury.
09-11 ReturnNico O'Reilly — Nico O'Reilly returned to full availability following a back issue.
09-05 InjuryNico O'Reilly — Nico O'Reilly suffered an injury during the pre-match warm-up against Coventry.
09-01 Transfer inEnzo Fernández — Enzo Fernández transferred from Chelsea to Manchester City.
09-01 Transfer inIliman Ndiaye — Iliman Ndiaye transferred from Everton to Manchester City.
09-01 Transfer outJack Grealish — Jack Grealish joined Everton on loan.
08-30 Transfer outStephen Mfuni — Manchester City loaned defender Stephen Mfuni to Coventry for the 2026–27 season.
08-26 Transfer inAyyoub Bouaddi — Manchester City signed midfielder Ayyoub Bouaddi from Lille.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.