Bayes FC

team ratings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Manchester City

Premier League
Rating+1.38
In league+0.70vs league average
Attack+0.73
Defence+0.64
Global rank2of 132
League rank2of 20
Games priced158

Strength over time

Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, all relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league. A whole league moving up or down does not show here; see leagues for that. Dots are results. Marks along the foot are club news; they never move the rating.

+0.2+0.4+0.6+0.81 Feb30 May12 SepWWWLDWWDWWWDDWWWWD
RatingAttackDefenceWin / draw / lossClub news

Season projection beta

Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker = more likely. Experimental — see methodology.

xPos1.9
Title39%
Top 498%
Relegation
Played3
Points9
Goals7–2+5
15101520

Recent results

Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating above has not seen it — the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
09-05Premier LeagueHCoventry1–0W
08-28Premier LeagueACrystal Palace1–4W
08-23Premier LeagueHBournemouth2–1W
05-24Premier LeagueHAston Villa1–2L
05-19Premier LeagueABournemouth1–1D
05-13Premier LeagueHCrystal Palace3–0W
05-09Premier LeagueHBrentford3–0W
05-04Premier LeagueAEverton3–3D
04-22Premier LeagueABurnley0–1W
04-19Premier LeagueHArsenal2–1W
04-12Premier LeagueAChelsea0–3W
03-14Premier LeagueAWest Ham1–1D
03-04Premier LeagueHNottingham Forest2–2D
02-28Premier LeagueALeeds0–1W
02-21Premier LeagueHNewcastle2–1W

Showing the most recent 15 of 38 on record.

Upcoming

The next fixtures on the schedule, each shaded by how strong the opponent is — a darker cell is a harder game. The shading runs on one scale across every league, so two clubs’ runs can be compared directly. An opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side) prints a dash.

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
09-13Premier LeagueAManchester Utd+0.97
09-20Premier LeagueHSunderland+0.38
10-11Premier LeagueALiverpool+1.08
10-14UEFA Champions LeagueHParis SG+1.22
10-17Premier LeagueHIpswich+0.22
10-24Premier LeagueAAston Villa+0.66

Club news

What the daily news sweep recorded about this club.

DateTypeHeadline
09-11 InjuryJeremy Doku — Jeremy Doku was ruled out of the Manchester derby due to a persistent calf injury.
09-11 ReturnNico O'Reilly — Nico O'Reilly returned to full availability following a back issue.
09-05 InjuryNico O'Reilly — Nico O'Reilly suffered an injury during the pre-match warm-up against Coventry.
09-01 Transfer inEnzo Fernández — Enzo Fernández transferred from Chelsea to Manchester City.
09-01 Transfer inIliman Ndiaye — Iliman Ndiaye transferred from Everton to Manchester City.
09-01 Transfer outJack Grealish — Jack Grealish joined Everton on loan.
08-30 Transfer outStephen Mfuni — Manchester City loaned defender Stephen Mfuni to Coventry for the 2026–27 season.
08-26 Transfer inAyyoub Bouaddi — Manchester City signed midfielder Ayyoub Bouaddi from Lille.

Club news is assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. It is descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and it is unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

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