Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

RB Leipzig

Bundesliga
Rating+0.49
In league+0.26vs league average
Attack+0.35
Defence+0.14
Global rank36of 132 · ▼5 this week
League rank5of 18
Games priced146

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get RB Leipzig’s moves every week.

One email a week: where RB Leipzig moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos4.9
Title–
Top 450%
Relegation–
Played7
Points12
Goals20–11+9
15101518

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-24BundesligaHElversberg4–0W
10-21UEFA Champions LeagueAReal Madrid4–1L
10-17BundesligaABayern Munich6–1L
10-13UEFA Champions LeagueHPSV Eindhoven1–0W
10-10BundesligaHEin Frankfurt6–0W
09-20BundesligaALeverkusen2–0L
09-13BundesligaHHamburg5–0W
09-10UEFA Champions LeagueAComo4–1L
09-05BundesligaAWerder Bremen3–1L
08-29BundesligaHM'gladbach3–0W
05-16BundesligaAFreiburg4–1L
05-09BundesligaHSt Pauli2–1W
05-02BundesligaALeverkusen4–1L
04-24BundesligaHUnion Berlin3–1W
04-18BundesligaAEin Frankfurt1–3W

Latest 15 of 36 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-31BundesligaASchalke 04-0.04
11-04UEFA Champions LeagueHManchester City+1.37
11-07BundesligaHAugsburg-0.00
11-21BundesligaAUnion Berlin-0.20
11-29BundesligaAFreiburg+0.31
12-05BundesligaHMainz+0.24

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
09-21 learnedInjuryBrajan Gruda — Brajan Gruda suffered an abdominal muscle strain during the match against Bayer Leverkusen.
09-20 InjuryBrajan Gruda — Brajan Gruda suffered a hip injury and was substituted off in the first half against Bayer Leverkusen.
09-18 InjuryMarc Guiu — Marc Guiu suffered a hamstring injury in training and is expected to miss several weeks.
09-17 learnedInjuryAssan Ouedraogo — Assan Ouedraogo will undergo shoulder surgery and is ruled out for the rest of the year.
09-01 Transfer inNeil El Aynaoui — Neil El Aynaoui joined RB Leipzig on a season-long loan from AS Roma with an option to buy.
08-25 Transfer inChristopher Nkunku — RB Leipzig signed Christopher Nkunku on loan from AC Milan.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.