Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Freiburg

Bundesliga
Rating+0.31
In league+0.08vs league average
Attack+0.14
Defence+0.17
Global rank44of 132 · ▲5 this week
League rank7of 18
Games priced150

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Freiburg’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Freiburg moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

Powered by Buttondown.

Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos6.4
Title–
Top 422%
Relegation–
Played7
Points13
Goals16–9+7
15101518

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-25BundesligaHBayern Munich1–3L
10-22UEFA Europa Conference LeagueAMonaco3–0L
10-18BundesligaALeverkusen2–1L
10-15UEFA Europa Conference LeagueHJablonecnot priced yet3–2W
10-11BundesligaHSchalke 042–1W
09-19BundesligaAEin Frankfurt2–2D
09-12BundesligaHM'gladbach5–0W
09-05BundesligaAPaderborn0–1W
08-30BundesligaHWerder Bremen4–1W
05-20UEFA Europa LeagueHAston Villa0–3L
05-16BundesligaHRB Leipzig4–1W
05-10BundesligaAHamburg3–2L
05-07UEFA Europa LeagueHSp Braga3–1W
05-03BundesligaHWolfsburg1–1D
04-30UEFA Europa LeagueASp Braga2–1L

Latest 15 of 47 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-31BundesligaAAugsburg-0.00
11-08BundesligaHUnion Berlin-0.20
11-21BundesligaAElversberg-0.11
11-29BundesligaHRB Leipzig+0.49
12-05BundesligaHHoffenheim+0.40

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-16 ContractLukas Kübler — Lukas Kübler signed a contract extension with SC Freiburg.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.