Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Werder Bremen

Bundesliga
Rating+0.02
In league-0.21vs league average
Attack+0.02
Defence+0.00
Global rank71of 132 · ▲4 this week
League rank10of 18
Games priced143

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Werder Bremen’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Werder Bremen moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos10.2
Title–
Top 42%
Relegation3%
Played7
Points12
Goals15–14+1
15101518

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-24BundesligaAMainz2–3W
10-17BundesligaHPaderborn2–2D
10-09BundesligaADortmund2–2D
09-19BundesligaHAugsburg3–2W
09-12BundesligaAFC Koln1–1D
09-05BundesligaHRB Leipzig3–1W
08-30BundesligaAFreiburg4–1L
05-16BundesligaHDortmund0–2L
05-09BundesligaAHoffenheim1–0L
05-02BundesligaHAugsburg1–3L
04-26BundesligaAStuttgart1–1D
04-18BundesligaHHamburg3–1W
04-12BundesligaAFC Koln3–1L
04-04BundesligaHRB Leipzig1–2L
03-21BundesligaAWolfsburg0–1W

Latest 15 of 33 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-31BundesligaHHoffenheim+0.40
11-07BundesligaAStuttgart+0.55
11-22BundesligaHHamburg-0.16
11-27BundesligaHM'gladbach-0.04
12-05BundesligaAEin Frankfurt+0.13

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-22 InjuryNiklas Stark — Niklas Stark has been ruled out due to a gluteal muscle injury.
10-22 ReturnSenne Lynen — Senne Lynen returned to team training following a pelvic injury.
10-20 ReturnJustin Njinmah — Justin Njinmah returned to team training after a thigh muscle injury.
10-15 ReturnAmos Pieper — Amos Pieper returned to full team training following injury problems earlier in the week and was declared fit to play.
10-08 ReturnKarl Hein — Karl Hein returned to team training following a bruised thigh sustained on international duty.
10-08 learnedInjuryFelix Agu — Felix Agu suffered a muscular injury setback and was ruled out of the upcoming match against Borussia Dortmund.
10-06 InjurySkelly Alvero — Skelly Alvero is sidelined indefinitely after suffering a calf muscle injury.
09-29 InjurySalim Musah — Salim Musah has been ruled out for several months after suffering a serious left thigh injury while on duty with Germany Under-20.
09-15 ReturnSenne Lynen — Senne Lynen returned to full team training following an abdominal and pelvic injury.
09-12 ReturnMitchell Weiser — Mitchell Weiser made his return to competitive action after 14 months out with a torn anterior cruciate ligament.
09-08 ReturnMitchell Weiser — Mitchell Weiser returned to full team training.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.