Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Augsburg

Bundesliga
Rating-0.00
In league-0.23vs league average
Attack+0.05
Defence-0.05
Global rank78of 132 · ▲1 this week
League rank12of 18
Games priced143

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Augsburg’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Augsburg moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

Powered by Buttondown.

Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos11.9
Title–
Top 41%
Relegation8%
Played7
Points9
Goals17–13+4
15101518

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-24BundesligaHUnion Berlin1–1D
10-17BundesligaAElversberg4–3L
10-10BundesligaHBayern Munich2–2D
09-19BundesligaAWerder Bremen3–2L
09-12BundesligaHLeverkusen2–2D
09-06BundesligaAEin Frankfurt1–4W
08-30BundesligaHSchalke 043–0W
05-16BundesligaAUnion Berlin4–0L
05-09BundesligaHM'gladbach3–1W
05-02BundesligaAWerder Bremen1–3W
04-25BundesligaHEin Frankfurt1–1D
04-18BundesligaALeverkusen1–2W
04-10BundesligaHHoffenheim2–2D
04-04BundesligaAHamburg1–1D
03-22BundesligaHStuttgart2–5L

Latest 15 of 33 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-31BundesligaHFreiburg+0.31
11-07BundesligaARB Leipzig+0.49
11-22BundesligaHMainz+0.24
11-28BundesligaAHoffenheim+0.40
12-05BundesligaHFC Koln+0.01

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-26 SuspensionJuma Bah — Juma Bah was handed a two-match Bundesliga suspension by the DFB Sports Court following a red card against Union Berlin.
10-04 InjuryNoahkai Banks — Noahkai Banks is sidelined for the foreseeable future after suffering a lateral collateral ligament injury in his right knee while on international duty with Germany U21.
08-27 Transfer inYoungwoo Seol — Youngwoo Seol transferred to Augsburg from Red Star Belgrade.
08-27 Transfer outKeven Schlotterbeck — Keven Schlotterbeck transferred from Augsburg to Southampton.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.