Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Leverkusen

Bundesliga
Rating+0.67
In league+0.44vs league average
Attack+0.40
Defence+0.28
Global rank22of 132 · ▲3 this week
League rank3of 18
Games priced146

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Leverkusen’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Leverkusen moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos3.4
Title–
Top 482%
Relegation–
Played7
Points13
Goals16–12+4
15101518

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-25BundesligaAHoffenheim3–0L
10-22UEFA Europa LeagueAOFI Crete0–2W
10-18BundesligaHFreiburg2–1W
10-15UEFA Europa LeagueAKKS Lech Poznan0–4W
10-10BundesligaAMainz3–4W
09-20BundesligaHRB Leipzig2–0W
09-16UEFA Europa LeagueHNK Celje2–0W
09-12BundesligaAAugsburg2–2D
09-05BundesligaHUnion Berlin4–0W
08-29BundesligaAElversberg3–2L
05-16BundesligaHHamburg1–1D
05-09BundesligaAStuttgart3–1L
05-02BundesligaHRB Leipzig4–1W
04-25BundesligaAFC Koln1–2W
04-18BundesligaHAugsburg1–2L

Latest 15 of 45 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-31BundesligaHStuttgart+0.55
11-05UEFA Europa LeagueHMarseille+0.24
11-08BundesligaAFC Koln+0.01
11-21BundesligaHPaderborn-0.22
11-29BundesligaADortmund+0.71
12-05BundesligaHM'gladbach-0.04

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-14 learnedInjuryEliesse Ben Seghir — Eliesse Ben Seghir was ruled out for the week due to a muscle injury.
09-16 InjuryGuéla Doué — Guéla Doué suffered a calf muscle injury in training and is sidelined.
09-04 InjuryGuéla Doué — Guéla Doué is ruled out of upcoming action due to a minor injury.
09-01 Transfer outJeanuel Belocian — Jeanuel Belocian joined Racing Santander on a season-long loan from Bayer Leverkusen.
08-27 Transfer outErnest Poku — Ernest Poku joined Beşiktaş on loan from Leverkusen.
08-27 Transfer outExequiel Palacios — Exequiel Palacios transferred from Leverkusen to Ipswich Town.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.