Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Marseille

Ligue 1
Rating+0.24
In league+0.18vs league average
Attack+0.19
Defence+0.05
Global rank52of 132 · ▼5 this week
League rank7of 18
Games priced149

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Marseille’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Marseille moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos6.5
Title–
Top 427%
Relegation–
Played8
Points12
Goals18–13+5
15101518

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-25Ligue 1HLe Havre4–3W
10-22UEFA Europa LeagueASK Sturm Graz1–0L
10-18Ligue 1AAngers2–5W
10-15UEFA Europa LeagueHOlympiacos Piraeus0–1L
10-11Ligue 1ATroyes0–2W
09-20Ligue 1HParis SG1–2L
09-17UEFA Europa LeagueABesiktasnot priced yet4–1L
09-11Ligue 1ARennes1–0L
09-06Ligue 1HParis FC2–3L
08-30Ligue 1AMonaco2–0L
08-21Ligue 1HStrasbourg4–0W
05-17Ligue 1HRennes3–1W
05-10Ligue 1ALe Havre0–1W
05-02Ligue 1ANantes3–0L
04-26Ligue 1HNice1–1D

Latest 15 of 41 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
11-01Ligue 1HToulouse+0.03
11-05UEFA Europa LeagueALeverkusen+0.67
11-08Ligue 1ALens+0.33
11-22Ligue 1HLe Mans-0.35
11-29Ligue 1AAuxerre-0.32
12-06Ligue 1HNice-0.01

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-14 OtherThe LFP Disciplinary Commission issued a two-match closure of the Tribune Nord at Stade Vélodrome.
10-09 learnedReturnTochukwu Nnadi — Marseille midfielder Tochukwu Nnadi returned to contention following a knee injury.
09-24 SuspensionTimothy Weah — Timothy Weah was handed a one-match suspension following his red card against Paris Saint-Germain.
09-24 learnedInjuryDerek Cornelius — Derek Cornelius suffered an injury while on international duty with Canada.
09-24 ReturnIgor Paixao — Igor Paixao returned to first-team training following an ankle issue.
09-20 InjuryIgor Paixão — Igor Paixão was forced off with an injury during the first half against Paris Saint-Germain.
09-01 Transfer outQuinten Timber — Quinten Timber transferred from Marseille to Crystal Palace.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.