Bayes FC

team ratings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Le Mans

Ligue 1
Rating-0.37
In league-0.49vs league average
Attack-0.18
Defence-0.19
Global rank108of 132 · ▲3 this week
League rank18of 18
Games priced3

Strength over time

Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, all relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league. A whole league moving up or down does not show here; see leagues for that. Dots are results. Marks along the foot are club news; they never move the rating.

-0.4-0.23 Aug19 Aug12 SepDLD
RatingAttackDefenceWin / draw / lossClub news

Season projection beta

Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker = more likely. Experimental — see methodology.

xPos15.6
Title
Top 4
Relegation45%
Played3
Points2
Goals5–6-1
15101518

Recent results

Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating above has not seen it — the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
09-05Ligue 1ANice1–1D
08-30Ligue 1ARennes3–2L
08-22Ligue 1HBrest2–2D

Upcoming

The next fixtures on the schedule, each shaded by how strong the opponent is — a darker cell is a harder game. The shading runs on one scale across every league, so two clubs’ runs can be compared directly. An opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side) prints a dash.

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
09-13Ligue 1HLens+0.51
09-19Ligue 1HLorient-0.08
10-10Ligue 1AParis SG+1.22
10-16Ligue 1HToulouse+0.07
10-25Ligue 1AAuxerre-0.24

Club news

What the daily news sweep recorded about this club.

DateTypeHeadline
09-01 Transfer inHabib Diallo — Habib Diallo joined Le Mans from Metz for an undisclosed fee.

Club news is assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. It is descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and it is unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

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