Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Le Mans

Ligue 1
Rating-0.35
In league-0.41vs league average
Attack-0.18
Defence-0.18
Global rank103of 132 · ▼1 this week
League rank15of 18
Games priced8

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Le Mans’ moves every week.

One email a week: where Le Mans moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos14.9
Title–
Top 4–
Relegation27%
Played8
Points7
Goals11–16-5
15101518

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-25Ligue 1AAuxerre1–1D
10-16Ligue 1HToulouse0–3L
10-10Ligue 1AParis SG3–1L
09-19Ligue 1HLorient2–1W
09-13Ligue 1HLens2–2D
09-05Ligue 1ANice1–1D
08-30Ligue 1ARennes3–2L
08-22Ligue 1HBrest2–2D

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-31Ligue 1ATroyes-0.36
11-08Ligue 1HMonaco+0.35
11-22Ligue 1AMarseille+0.24
11-28Ligue 1HLille+0.28
12-05Ligue 1AParis FC+0.19

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-24 InjuryHarold Voyer — Harold Voyer was ruled out after suffering a thigh injury setback.
09-01 Transfer inHabib Diallo — Habib Diallo joined Le Mans from Metz for an undisclosed fee.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.