Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Nice

Ligue 1
Rating-0.01
In league-0.07vs league average
Attack+0.01
Defence-0.02
Global rank80of 132 · ▼7 this week
League rank11of 18
Games priced149

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Nice’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Nice moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos10.3
Title–
Top 43%
Relegation1%
Played8
Points11
Goals8–10-2
15101518

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-23Ligue 1ABrest1–2W
10-18Ligue 1ALyon2–1L
10-11Ligue 1HStrasbourg2–1W
09-20Ligue 1HLille2–1W
09-12Ligue 1AAuxerre1–0L
09-05Ligue 1HLe Mans1–1D
08-30Ligue 1AParis FC3–0L
08-22Ligue 1HLorient0–0D
05-17Ligue 1HMetz0–0D
05-10Ligue 1AAuxerre2–1L
05-02Ligue 1HLens1–1D
04-26Ligue 1AMarseille1–1D
04-18Ligue 1ALille0–0D
04-12Ligue 1HLe Havre1–1D
04-04Ligue 1AStrasbourg3–1L

Latest 15 of 38 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-31Ligue 1HRennes+0.26
11-08Ligue 1AAngers-0.42
11-21Ligue 1HParis SG+1.13
11-28Ligue 1HTroyes-0.36
12-06Ligue 1AMarseille+0.24

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-11 InjuryDjibril Coulibaly — Djibril Coulibaly was substituted in the 37th minute against Strasbourg due to an acute medical issue.
08-31 Transfer inMohamed Amoura — Mohamed Amoura joins OGC Nice on a season-long loan from VfL Wolfsburg with an option to buy.
08-27 learnedTransfer outMohamed-Ali Cho — Mohamed-Ali Cho completed a permanent transfer from Nice to Hull City.
08-24 Transfer inElye Wahi — Nice signed Elye Wahi on a season-long loan from Eintracht Frankfurt.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.