Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Lille

Ligue 1
Rating+0.28
In league+0.22vs league average
Attack+0.11
Defence+0.17
Global rank48of 132 · ▼5 this week
League rank5of 18
Games priced154

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Lille’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Lille moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos5.4
Title–
Top 442%
Relegation–
Played8
Points15
Goals11–6+5
15101518

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-25Ligue 1AMonaco1–1D
10-21UEFA Champions LeagueHGalatasaray Istanbul2–4L
10-17Ligue 1HBrest1–1D
10-13UEFA Champions LeagueAArsenal3–0L
10-10Ligue 1HLe Havre1–0W
09-20Ligue 1ANice2–1L
09-13Ligue 1HTroyes2–0W
09-08UEFA Champions LeagueHReal Betis2–3L
09-03Ligue 1AToulouse0–1W
08-28Ligue 1HParis SG2–2D
08-23Ligue 1AAngers0–2W
05-17Ligue 1HAuxerre0–2L
05-10Ligue 1AMonaco0–1W
05-03Ligue 1HLe Havre1–1D
04-26Ligue 1AParis FC0–1W

Latest 15 of 45 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-30Ligue 1HLens+0.33
11-03UEFA Champions LeagueABodoe/Glimt–
11-08Ligue 1ARennes+0.26
11-21Ligue 1HLyon+0.29
11-28Ligue 1ALe Mans-0.35
12-05Ligue 1HAuxerre-0.32

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-25 SuspensionTanguy Nianzou — Tanguy Nianzou received a straight red card for a reckless challenge against Monaco, incurring an automatic suspension.
09-30 learnedInjuryEthan Mbappé — Ethan Mbappé is expected to be sidelined for three weeks after suffering an ankle injury on international duty with France Under-21s.
09-16 Transfer outArnaud Bodart — Arnaud Bodart terminated his contract by mutual consent with Lille to join Le Havre.
09-01 Transfer inAyase Ueda — Lille completed the signing of striker Ayase Ueda from Feyenoord.
09-01 Transfer outMatias Fernandez-Pardo — Matias Fernandez-Pardo transferred from Lille to Newcastle United.
08-26 Transfer outAyyoub Bouaddi — Ayyoub Bouaddi has completed a transfer from Lille to Manchester City.
08-26 Transfer inDilane Bakwa — Dilane Bakwa has joined Lille on loan from Nottingham Forest.
08-26 Transfer inOrlando Gill — Orlando Gill has signed for Lille from San Lorenzo.
08-20 Transfer outMarius Broholm — Marius Broholm joined FC Utrecht from Lille on loan.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.