Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Monaco

Ligue 1
Rating+0.35
In league+0.30vs league average
Attack+0.22
Defence+0.13
Global rank41of 132 · ▼1 this week
League rank2of 18
Games priced153

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Monaco’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Monaco moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos4.2
Title1%
Top 463%
Relegation–
Played8
Points15
Goals11–7+4
15101518

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-25Ligue 1HLille1–1D
10-22UEFA Europa Conference LeagueHFreiburg3–0W
10-18Ligue 1ALorient1–0L
10-15UEFA Europa Conference LeagueACSKA Sofianot priced yet1–2W
10-10Ligue 1HToulouse2–2D
09-18Ligue 1HLens2–1W
09-12Ligue 1AStrasbourg1–1D
09-04Ligue 1AParis SG1–2W
08-30Ligue 1HMarseille2–0W
08-23Ligue 1ALe Havre0–1W
05-17Ligue 1AStrasbourg5–4L
05-10Ligue 1HLille0–1L
05-02Ligue 1AMetz1–2W
04-25Ligue 1AToulouse2–2D
04-19Ligue 1HAuxerre2–2D

Latest 15 of 42 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
11-01Ligue 1AParis FC+0.19
11-08Ligue 1ALe Mans-0.35
11-21Ligue 1HAuxerre-0.32
11-29Ligue 1ALyon+0.29
12-05Ligue 1HAngers-0.42

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-25 InjuryAnsu Fati — Ansu Fati suffered a muscle injury to the back of his right leg and was substituted early against Lille.
10-17 InjuryEric Dier — Eric Dier was ruled out for two to three weeks with a right quadriceps injury.
10-17 InjuryStanis Idumbo — Stanis Idumbo suffered a psoas injury and was ruled out for an extended period.
10-15 InjuryEric Dier — Eric Dier suffered a quadriceps muscle injury ruling him out of action.
09-24 SuspensionParis Brunner — Paris Brunner received a two-match suspension for his celebration against Strasbourg.
09-13 learnedInjuryAnis Soubeir — Anis Soubeir suffered a right ankle sprain expected to keep him sidelined for three weeks.
09-02 Transfer outThilo Kehrer — AS Monaco loaned defender Thilo Kehrer to Ajax for the season.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.