Bayes FC

team ratings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Monaco

Ligue 1
Rating+0.42
In league+0.30vs league average
Attack+0.29
Defence+0.13
Global rank41of 132 · ▲1 this week
League rank4of 18
Games priced147

Strength over time

Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, all relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league. A whole league moving up or down does not show here; see leagues for that. Dots are results. Marks along the foot are club news; they never move the rating.

+0.0+0.2+0.41 Feb30 May12 SepWWWLLWDDLWWWWWWWD
RatingAttackDefenceWin / draw / lossClub news

Season projection beta

Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker = more likely. Experimental — see methodology.

xPos3.8
Title4%
Top 470%
Relegation
Played3
Points9
Goals5–1+4
15101518

Recent results

Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating above has not seen it — the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
09-04Ligue 1AParis SG1–2W
08-30Ligue 1HMarseille2–0W
08-23Ligue 1ALe Havre0–1W
05-17Ligue 1AStrasbourg5–4L
05-10Ligue 1HLille0–1L
05-02Ligue 1AMetz1–2W
04-25Ligue 1AToulouse2–2D
04-19Ligue 1HAuxerre2–2D
04-10Ligue 1AParis FC4–1L
04-05Ligue 1HMarseille2–1W
03-22Ligue 1ALyon1–2W
03-14Ligue 1HBrest2–0W
03-06Ligue 1AParis SG1–3W
02-28Ligue 1HAngers2–0W
02-21Ligue 1ALens2–3W

Showing the most recent 15 of 34 on record.

Upcoming

The next fixtures on the schedule, each shaded by how strong the opponent is — a darker cell is a harder game. The shading runs on one scale across every league, so two clubs’ runs can be compared directly. An opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side) prints a dash.

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
09-12Ligue 1AStrasbourg+0.06
09-18Ligue 1HLens+0.51
10-10Ligue 1HToulouse+0.07
10-15UEFA Europa Conference LeagueAPFC CSKA Sofia
10-18Ligue 1ALorient-0.08
10-25Ligue 1HLille+0.46

Club news

What the daily news sweep recorded about this club.

DateTypeHeadline
09-02 Transfer outThilo Kehrer — AS Monaco loaned defender Thilo Kehrer to Ajax for the season.

Club news is assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. It is descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and it is unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

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