Bayes FC

team ratings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Hoffenheim

Bundesliga
Rating+0.45
In league+0.26vs league average
Attack+0.29
Defence+0.16
Global rank40of 132 · ▼2 this week
League rank6of 18
Games priced138

Strength over time

Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, all relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league. A whole league moving up or down does not show here; see leagues for that. Dots are results. Marks along the foot are club news; they never move the rating.

+0.0+0.21 Feb30 May12 SepLLLWDWWDLLDWLDWL
RatingAttackDefenceWin / draw / lossClub news

Season projection beta

Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker = more likely. Experimental — see methodology.

xPos6.3
Title
Top 425%
Relegation
Played2
Points0
Goals4–6-2
15101518

Recent results

Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating above has not seen it — the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
09-05BundesligaHDortmund2–3L
08-29BundesligaAFC Koln3–2L
05-16BundesligaAM'gladbach4–0L
05-09BundesligaHWerder Bremen1–0W
05-02BundesligaHStuttgart3–3D
04-25BundesligaAHamburg1–2W
04-18BundesligaHDortmund2–1W
04-10BundesligaAAugsburg2–2D
04-04BundesligaHMainz1–2L
03-20BundesligaARB Leipzig5–0L
03-14BundesligaHWolfsburg1–1D
03-07BundesligaAHeidenheim2–4W
02-28BundesligaHSt Pauli0–1L
02-21BundesligaAFC Koln2–2D
02-14BundesligaHFreiburg3–0W

Showing the most recent 15 of 34 on record.

Upcoming

The next fixtures on the schedule, each shaded by how strong the opponent is — a darker cell is a harder game. The shading runs on one scale across every league, so two clubs’ runs can be compared directly. An opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side) prints a dash.

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
09-12BundesligaHStuttgart+0.53
09-17UEFA Europa LeagueAOFI Crete
09-20BundesligaAPaderborn-0.34
10-10BundesligaHHamburg-0.16
10-17BundesligaAM'gladbach-0.04
10-24BundesligaHLeverkusen+0.58

Club news

What the daily news sweep recorded about this club.

DateTypeHeadline
08-28 Transfer outDennis Geiger — TSG Hoffenheim mutually terminated the contract of midfielder Dennis Geiger to allow him to join NEC Nijmegen.

Club news is assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. It is descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and it is unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

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