Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Schalke 04

Bundesliga
Rating-0.04
In league-0.26vs league average
Attack-0.06
Defence+0.02
Global rank81of 132 · ▲2 this week
League rank13of 18
Games priced41

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Schalke 04’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Schalke 04 moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

Powered by Buttondown.

Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos13.6
Title–
Top 4–
Relegation21%
Played7
Points6
Goals4–7-3
15101518

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-24BundesligaAFC Koln0–0D
10-17BundesligaHMainz0–1L
10-11BundesligaAFreiburg2–1L
09-20BundesligaHElversberg0–0D
09-11BundesligaAUnion Berlin1–3W
09-05BundesligaHBayern Munich0–0D
08-30BundesligaAAugsburg3–0L

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-31BundesligaHRB Leipzig+0.49
11-08BundesligaAHoffenheim+0.40
11-21BundesligaHStuttgart+0.55
11-28BundesligaAPaderborn-0.22
12-05BundesligaHDortmund+0.71

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-24 InjuryRobin Gosens — Robin Gosens suffered a head injury and was taken to hospital following an aerial collision.
10-24 InjurySoufiane El-Faouzi — Soufiane El-Faouzi sustained a head injury requiring hospital treatment after colliding with a teammate.
09-17 ContractLuca Vozar — Schalke 04 signed midfielder Luca Vozar to a contract extension until 2029.
09-15 InjuryDejan Ljubičić — Dejan Ljubičić is ruled out indefinitely due to a left knee injury.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.