Bayes FC

team ratings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Union Berlin

Bundesliga
Rating-0.09
In league-0.29vs league average
Attack-0.09
Defence-0.01
Global rank87of 132 · ▼9 this week
League rank15of 18
Games priced138

Strength over time

Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, all relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league. A whole league moving up or down does not show here; see leagues for that. Dots are results. Marks along the foot are club news; they never move the rating.

-0.2+0.01 Feb30 May12 SepLLDWWDLLLDLWLLWLD
RatingAttackDefenceWin / draw / lossClub news

Season projection beta

Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker = more likely. Experimental — see methodology.

xPos14.4
Title
Top 4
Relegation28%
Played3
Points1
Goals4–10-6
15101518

Recent results

Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating above has not seen it — the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
09-11BundesligaHSchalke 04not priced yet1–3L
09-05BundesligaALeverkusen4–0L
08-29BundesligaHEin Frankfurt3–3D
05-16BundesligaHAugsburg4–0W
05-10BundesligaAMainz1–3W
05-02BundesligaHFC Koln2–2D
04-24BundesligaARB Leipzig3–1L
04-18BundesligaHWolfsburg1–2L
04-11BundesligaAHeidenheim3–1L
04-05BundesligaHSt Pauli1–1D
03-21BundesligaABayern Munich4–0L
03-15BundesligaAFreiburg0–1W
03-08BundesligaHWerder Bremen1–4L
02-28BundesligaAM'gladbach1–0L
02-21BundesligaHLeverkusen1–0W

Showing the most recent 15 of 35 on record.

Upcoming

The next fixtures on the schedule, each shaded by how strong the opponent is — a darker cell is a harder game. The shading runs on one scale across every league, so two clubs’ runs can be compared directly. An opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side) prints a dash.

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
09-18BundesligaABayern Munich+1.26
10-10BundesligaHElversberg-0.18
10-17BundesligaHDortmund+0.65
10-24BundesligaAAugsburg-0.02

Club news

What the daily news sweep recorded about this club.

DateTypeHeadline
09-02 Transfer outOluwaseun Ogbemudia — Oluwaseun Ogbemudia joined SV Waldhof Mannheim on a season-long loan from Union Berlin.
08-27 Transfer inFelix Uduokhai — Felix Uduokhai transferred to Union Berlin from Beşiktaş.

Club news is assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. It is descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and it is unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

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