Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Hamburg

Bundesliga
Rating-0.16
In league-0.39vs league average
Attack-0.10
Defence-0.06
Global rank93of 132
League rank16of 18
Games priced41

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Hamburg’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Hamburg moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos13.7
Title–
Top 4–
Relegation21%
Played7
Points9
Goals6–16-10
15101518

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-24BundesligaAPaderborn1–0L
10-17BundesligaHStuttgart1–0W
10-10BundesligaAHoffenheim2–3W
09-19BundesligaHFC Koln2–1W
09-13BundesligaARB Leipzig5–0L
09-06BundesligaHMainz0–5L
08-29BundesligaADortmund2–0L
05-16BundesligaALeverkusen1–1D
05-10BundesligaHFreiburg3–2W
05-02BundesligaAEin Frankfurt1–2W
04-25BundesligaHHoffenheim1–2L
04-18BundesligaAWerder Bremen3–1L
04-12BundesligaAStuttgart4–0L
04-04BundesligaHAugsburg1–1D
03-21BundesligaADortmund3–2L

Latest 15 of 33 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
11-01BundesligaAEin Frankfurt+0.13
11-06BundesligaHM'gladbach-0.04
11-22BundesligaAWerder Bremen+0.02
11-28BundesligaHBayern Munich+1.36
12-05BundesligaAUnion Berlin-0.20

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-22 ReturnPatson Daka — Patson Daka returned to full team training following injury.
10-22 ReturnAlbert Sambi Lokonga — Albert Sambi Lokonga returned to full team training following injury.
10-22 ReturnBakery Jatta — Bakery Jatta returned to full team training following injury.
10-03 InjuryPatson Daka — Patson Daka suffered a muscle tear in his left thigh.
09-18 ContractMerlin Polzin — Merlin Polzin signed a contract extension as head coach of Hamburger SV.
08-29 Transfer outWilliam Mikelbrencis — Hamburger SV have sold right-back William Mikelbrencis to SV Darmstadt 98.
08-24 Transfer inTerem Moffi — Hamburger SV completed the permanent transfer of striker Terem Moffi from OGC Nice.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.