Bayes FC

team ratings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Hamburg

Bundesliga
Rating-0.16
In league-0.35vs league average
Attack-0.11
Defence-0.04
Global rank93of 132 · ▼3 this week
League rank16of 18
Games priced36

Strength over time

Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, all relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league. A whole league moving up or down does not show here; see leagues for that. Dots are results. Marks along the foot are club news; they never move the rating.

-0.4-0.2+0.01 Feb30 May12 SepLLDWWLLLDLDWLLDWW
RatingAttackDefenceWin / draw / lossClub news

Season projection beta

Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker = more likely. Experimental — see methodology.

xPos14.9
Title
Top 4
Relegation36%
Played2
Points0
Goals0–7-7
15101518

Recent results

Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating above has not seen it — the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
09-06BundesligaHMainz0–5L
08-29BundesligaADortmund2–0L
05-16BundesligaALeverkusen1–1D
05-10BundesligaHFreiburg3–2W
05-02BundesligaAEin Frankfurt1–2W
04-25BundesligaHHoffenheim1–2L
04-18BundesligaAWerder Bremen3–1L
04-12BundesligaAStuttgart4–0L
04-04BundesligaHAugsburg1–1D
03-21BundesligaADortmund3–2L
03-14BundesligaHFC Koln1–1D
03-07BundesligaAWolfsburg1–2W
03-04BundesligaHLeverkusen0–1L
03-01BundesligaHRB Leipzig1–2L
02-20BundesligaAMainz1–1D

Showing the most recent 15 of 34 on record.

Upcoming

The next fixtures on the schedule, each shaded by how strong the opponent is — a darker cell is a harder game. The shading runs on one scale across every league, so two clubs’ runs can be compared directly. An opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side) prints a dash.

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
09-13BundesligaARB Leipzig+0.49
09-19BundesligaHFC Koln+0.01
10-10BundesligaAHoffenheim+0.45
10-17BundesligaHStuttgart+0.53
10-24BundesligaAPaderborn-0.34

Club news

What the daily news sweep recorded about this club.

DateTypeHeadline
08-29 Transfer outWilliam Mikelbrencis — Hamburger SV have sold right-back William Mikelbrencis to SV Darmstadt 98.
08-24 Transfer inTerem Moffi — Hamburger SV completed the permanent transfer of striker Terem Moffi from OGC Nice.

Club news is assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. It is descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and it is unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

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