Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Sp Braga

Primeira Liga
Rating+0.09
In league+0.51vs league average
Attack-0.01
Defence+0.10
Global rank68of 132 · ▼1 this week
League rank4of 18
Games priced151

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Sp Braga’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Sp Braga moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

Powered by Buttondown.

Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos4.6
Title–
Top 465%
Relegation–
Played9
Points11
Goals9–11-2
15101518

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-25Primeira LigaANacional1–0L
10-22UEFA Europa Conference LeagueHKAA Gent2–0W
10-19Primeira LigaHGil Vicente1–2L
10-15UEFA Europa Conference LeagueAFC Copenhagen3–0L
10-09Primeira LigaHSp Lisbon1–3L
09-20Primeira LigaASanta Clara0–0D
09-14Primeira LigaHEstoril1–0W
09-10Primeira LigaAEstrela2–1L
09-05Primeira LigaAAlverca1–2W
08-31Primeira LigaHGuimaraes1–0W
08-09Primeira LigaAMoreirense2–2D
05-16Primeira LigaHEstrela2–2D
05-11Primeira LigaABenfica2–2D
05-07UEFA Europa LeagueAFreiburg3–1L
05-03Primeira LigaHEstoril1–1D

Latest 15 of 47 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
11-01Primeira LigaHFamalicao-0.32
11-08Primeira LigaARio Ave-0.85
11-30Primeira LigaACasa Pia-0.99
12-06Primeira LigaHArouca-0.67

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-20 Manager outCarlos Vicens — SC Braga dismissed manager Carlos Vicens with immediate effect.
10-20 Manager inFranclim Carvalho — SC Braga appointed Franclim Carvalho as manager.
09-02 Transfer outBartłomiej Wdowik — Bartłomiej Wdowik joined Jagiellonia Białystok on loan from SC Braga.
08-27 Transfer outThiago Helguera — Thiago Helguera joined Atlético Madrileño on loan from Sp Braga.
08-21 Transfer inTommy Marqués — Sporting de Braga completed the permanent transfer of midfielder Tommy Marqués from FC Barcelona.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.