Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Famalicao

Primeira Liga
Rating-0.31
In league+0.11vs league average
Attack-0.20
Defence-0.11
Global rank99of 132 · ▲3 this week
League rank5of 18
Games priced145

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Famalicao’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Famalicao moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos8.3
Title–
Top 44%
Relegation–
Played9
Points10
Goals14–11+3
15101518

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-25Primeira LigaARio Ave0–4W
10-12Primeira LigaHAlverca1–4L
09-19Primeira LigaANacional0–4W
09-13Primeira LigaHSp Lisbon1–1D
09-05Primeira LigaAEstrela2–2D
08-30Primeira LigaHGil Vicente0–0D
08-23Primeira LigaASanta Clara1–0L
08-16Primeira LigaHMaritimo1–2L
08-07Primeira LigaAEstoril1–1D
05-16Primeira LigaHAlverca1–0W
05-11Primeira LigaAEstrela0–0D
05-02Primeira LigaHBenfica2–2D
04-26Primeira LigaAEstoril0–1W
04-19Primeira LigaASp Braga2–2D
04-10Primeira LigaHMoreirense1–1D

Latest 15 of 34 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
11-01Primeira LigaASp Braga+0.09
11-06Primeira LigaHArouca-0.66
11-30Primeira LigaABenfica+0.78
12-06Primeira LigaHAcademico Viseu-0.69

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-19 Manager outCarlos Carvalhal — Famalicao and manager Carlos Carvalhal terminated their contract by mutual agreement.
10-12 InjuryFinn van Breemen — Finn van Breemen suffered a left leg muscle injury.
10-12 InjuryMatheus Mattara — Matheus Mattara suffered a left ankle injury and was taken to the hospital.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.