Bayes FC

team ratings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Rio Ave

Primeira Liga
Rating-0.90
In league-0.43vs league average
Attack-0.44
Defence-0.46
Global rank128of 132
League rank16of 18
Games priced141

Strength over time

Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, all relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league. A whole league moving up or down does not show here; see leagues for that. Dots are results. Marks along the foot are club news; they never move the rating.

-0.6-0.4-0.21 Feb30 May12 SepLLWLLDLDLDWLWWWDLLL
RatingAttackDefenceWin / draw / lossClub news

Season projection beta

Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker = more likely. Experimental — see methodology.

xPos14.1
Title
Top 4
Relegation27%
Played5
Points3
Goals2–11-9
15101518

Recent results

Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating above has not seen it — the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
09-06Primeira LigaASanta Clara4–0L
08-28Primeira LigaHSp Lisbon0–4L
08-22Primeira LigaAEstoril0–2W
08-15Primeira LigaHPorto0–2L
08-09Primeira LigaAGil Vicente1–0L
05-16Primeira LigaACasa Pia1–1D
05-11Primeira LigaHSp Lisbon1–4L
05-03Primeira LigaHGil Vicente0–0D
04-25Primeira LigaAGuimaraes2–0L
04-17Primeira LigaHAVS2–2D
04-11Primeira LigaASanta Clara0–2W
04-04Primeira LigaHAlverca1–2L
03-22Primeira LigaAEstoril1–2W
03-15Primeira LigaHEstrela2–1W
03-09Primeira LigaATondela0–1W

Showing the most recent 15 of 36 on record.

Upcoming

The next fixtures on the schedule, each shaded by how strong the opponent is — a darker cell is a harder game. The shading runs on one scale across every league, so two clubs’ runs can be compared directly. An opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side) prints a dash.

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
09-14Primeira LigaHEstrela-0.81
09-19Primeira LigaAAlverca-0.72
10-11Primeira LigaHNacional-0.84
10-25Primeira LigaHFamalicao-0.34

Club news

What the daily news sweep recorded about this club.

DateTypeHeadline
09-03 Transfer inSebastian Clemmensen — Rio Ave completed the signing of forward Sebastian Clemmensen.

Club news is assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. It is descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and it is unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

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