Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Guimaraes

Primeira Liga
Rating-0.34
In league+0.08vs league average
Attack-0.19
Defence-0.16
Global rank101of 132 · ▲4 this week
League rank6of 18
Games priced145

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Guimaraes’ moves every week.

One email a week: where Guimaraes moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

Powered by Buttondown.

Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos9.2
Title–
Top 43%
Relegation1%
Played9
Points8
Goals10–100
15101518

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-23Primeira LigaHMaritimo5–0W
10-11Primeira LigaABenfica2–0L
09-20Primeira LigaHMoreirense1–1D
09-12Primeira LigaAAcademico Viseu2–1L
09-06Primeira LigaHCasa Pia0–0D
08-31Primeira LigaASp Braga1–0L
08-23Primeira LigaHNacional1–0W
08-14Primeira LigaASp Lisbon3–2L
08-08Primeira LigaHArouca0–1L
05-16Primeira LigaANacional2–0L
05-11Primeira LigaHCasa Pia0–1L
05-04Primeira LigaASp Lisbon5–1L
04-25Primeira LigaHRio Ave2–0W
04-18Primeira LigaAGil Vicente0–1W
04-11Primeira LigaAAVS1–1D

Latest 15 of 34 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
11-02Primeira LigaAGil Vicente-0.53
11-08Primeira LigaHPorto+0.59
11-28Primeira LigaHEstrela-0.74
12-06Primeira LigaAEstoril-0.67

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-17 InjuryFrancisco Dias — Francisco Dias suffered an injury against Lamelas and was forced off in the 15th minute.
09-17 learnedSuspensionAlioune Ndoye — Alioune Ndoye received a three-match suspension following incidents against Academico de Viseu.
08-27 Transfer inVictor Andersson — Victor Andersson signed for Guimaraes from AIK.
08-21 Transfer inVictor Andersson — Vitória de Guimarães signed winger Victor Andersson from AIK on a contract until June 2030.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.