Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Moreirense

Primeira Liga
Rating-0.98
In league-0.56vs league average
Attack-0.56
Defence-0.42
Global rank129of 132
League rank17of 18
Games priced111

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / loss

Get Moreirense’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Moreirense moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

Powered by Buttondown.

Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos13.8
Title–
Top 4–
Relegation18%
Played9
Points11
Goals11–16-5
15101518

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-25Primeira LigaAEstoril1–3W
10-09Primeira LigaHGil Vicente0–1L
09-20Primeira LigaAGuimaraes1–1D
09-14Primeira LigaHMaritimo3–1W
09-09Primeira LigaHBenfica0–4L
09-04Primeira LigaAPorto2–1L
08-30Primeira LigaACasa Pia0–1W
08-16Primeira LigaAArouca4–0L
08-09Primeira LigaHSp Braga2–2D
05-16Primeira LigaHAVS0–0D
05-11Primeira LigaATondela2–0L
05-02Primeira LigaHEstrela3–2W
04-25Primeira LigaABenfica4–1L
04-20Primeira LigaHEstoril1–0W
04-10Primeira LigaAFamalicao1–1D

Latest 15 of 35 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-31Primeira LigaHEstrela-0.74
11-07Primeira LigaASp Lisbon+0.52
11-28Primeira LigaHSanta Clara-0.49
12-06Primeira LigaAAlverca-0.63

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

Nothing recorded in the last 365 days (collecting since ).