Bayes FC

team ratings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Benfica

Primeira Liga
Rating+0.75
In league+1.22vs league average
Attack+0.39
Defence+0.36
Global rank14of 132 · ▼1 this week
League rank1of 18
Games priced145

Strength over time

Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, all relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league. A whole league moving up or down does not show here; see leagues for that. Dots are results. Marks along the foot are club news; they never move the rating.

+0.5+1.01 Feb30 May12 SepWWWWDWDDWWWDWWDWWWWD
RatingAttackDefenceWin / draw / lossClub news

Season projection beta

Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker = more likely. Experimental — see methodology.

xPos1.7
Title52%
Top 4100%
Relegation
Played5
Points13
Goals18–3+15
15101518

Recent results

Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating above has not seen it — the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
09-09Primeira LigaAMoreirense0–4W
09-05Primeira LigaAMaritimo0–3W
08-31Primeira LigaHEstoril2–1W
08-17Primeira LigaACasa Pia0–7W
08-09Primeira LigaHAcademico Viseu2–2D
05-16Primeira LigaAEstoril1–3W
05-11Primeira LigaHSp Braga2–2D
05-02Primeira LigaAFamalicao2–2D
04-25Primeira LigaHMoreirense4–1W
04-19Primeira LigaASp Lisbon1–2W
04-12Primeira LigaHNacional2–0W
04-06Primeira LigaACasa Pia1–1D
03-21Primeira LigaHGuimaraes3–0W
03-14Primeira LigaAArouca1–2W
03-08Primeira LigaHPorto2–2D

Showing the most recent 15 of 36 on record.

Upcoming

The next fixtures on the schedule, each shaded by how strong the opponent is — a darker cell is a harder game. The shading runs on one scale across every league, so two clubs’ runs can be compared directly. An opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side) prints a dash.

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
09-13Primeira LigaHGil Vicente-0.59
09-16UEFA Europa LeagueAAC Milan+0.68
09-20Primeira LigaAPorto+0.52
10-11Primeira LigaHGuimaraes-0.40
10-26Primeira LigaASanta Clara-0.58

Club news

What the daily news sweep recorded about this club.

DateTypeHeadline
09-03 Transfer outJoshua Wynder — Benfica loaned defender Joshua Wynder to New England Revolution through the 2027 MLS season.
09-02 ContractTomás Araújo — Tomás Araújo signed a contract extension with Benfica through 2031.
09-01 Transfer inSouffian El Karouani — Souffian El Karouani joined Benfica on a season-long loan with an option to buy from Al-Qadisiyah.
08-26 Transfer inJoão Palhinha — Benfica signed midfielder João Palhinha from Bayern Munich on a contract through June 2030.
08-23 Transfer outMauro Furtado — Girona complete the permanent signing of defender Mauro Furtado from Benfica.

Club news is assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. It is descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and it is unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

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