Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Benfica

Primeira Liga
Rating+0.78
In league+1.20vs league average
Attack+0.42
Defence+0.35
Global rank15of 132
League rank1of 18
Games priced150

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Benfica’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Benfica moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos1.6
Title49%
Top 4100%
Relegation–
Played9
Points22
Goals26–8+18
15101518

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-26Primeira LigaASanta Clara1–2W
10-22UEFA Europa LeagueAAC Omonia Nicosia1–4W
10-15UEFA Europa LeagueHCeltic Glasgow4–1W
10-11Primeira LigaHGuimaraes2–0W
09-20Primeira LigaAPorto3–1L
09-16UEFA Europa LeagueAAC Milan0–2W
09-13Primeira LigaHGil Vicente3–1W
09-09Primeira LigaAMoreirense0–4W
09-05Primeira LigaAMaritimo0–3W
08-31Primeira LigaHEstoril2–1W
08-17Primeira LigaACasa Pia0–7W
08-09Primeira LigaHAcademico Viseu2–2D
05-16Primeira LigaAEstoril1–3W
05-11Primeira LigaHSp Braga2–2D
05-02Primeira LigaAFamalicao2–2D

Latest 15 of 44 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
11-02Primeira LigaHAlverca-0.63
11-05UEFA Europa LeagueHKKS Lech Poznan–
11-08Primeira LigaAEstrela-0.74
11-30Primeira LigaHFamalicao-0.32
12-06Primeira LigaANacional-0.86

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-22 InjuryLeandro Barreiro — Leandro Barreiro is sidelined with a muscle injury for more than one or two weeks.
10-14 ReturnAlexander Bah — Alexander Bah returned to full training and was cleared for match selection.
09-15 ReturnAlexander Bah — Alexander Bah returned to group training following a right shoulder injury.
09-03 Transfer outJoshua Wynder — Benfica loaned defender Joshua Wynder to New England Revolution through the 2027 MLS season.
09-02 ContractTomás Araújo — Tomás Araújo signed a contract extension with Benfica through 2031.
09-01 Transfer inSouffian El Karouani — Souffian El Karouani joined Benfica on a season-long loan with an option to buy from Al-Qadisiyah.
08-26 Transfer inJoão Palhinha — Benfica signed midfielder João Palhinha from Bayern Munich on a contract through June 2030.
08-23 Transfer outMauro Furtado — Girona complete the permanent signing of defender Mauro Furtado from Benfica.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.