Bayes FC

team ratings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Porto

Primeira Liga
Rating+0.52
In league+0.99vs league average
Attack+0.20
Defence+0.31
Global rank30of 132 · ▼1 this week
League rank3of 18
Games priced146

Strength over time

Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, all relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league. A whole league moving up or down does not show here; see leagues for that. Dots are results. Marks along the foot are club news; they never move the rating.

+0.5+1.01 Feb30 May12 SepWWWWWWLWWWWDWWDWWWDL
RatingAttackDefenceWin / draw / lossClub news

Season projection beta

Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker = more likely. Experimental — see methodology.

xPos2.3
Title22%
Top 4100%
Relegation
Played5
Points15
Goals11–1+10
15101518

Recent results

Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating above has not seen it — the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
09-04Primeira LigaHMoreirense2–1W
08-29Primeira LigaAAcademico Viseu0–3W
08-23Primeira LigaHArouca2–0W
08-15Primeira LigaARio Ave0–2W
08-09Primeira LigaHAlverca2–0W
05-16Primeira LigaHSanta Clara1–0W
05-10Primeira LigaAAVS3–1L
05-02Primeira LigaHAlverca1–0W
04-26Primeira LigaAEstrela1–2W
04-19Primeira LigaHTondela2–0W
04-12Primeira LigaAEstoril1–3W
04-04Primeira LigaHFamalicao2–2D
03-22Primeira LigaASp Braga1–2W
03-15Primeira LigaHMoreirense3–0W
03-08Primeira LigaABenfica2–2D

Showing the most recent 15 of 35 on record.

Upcoming

The next fixtures on the schedule, each shaded by how strong the opponent is — a darker cell is a harder game. The shading runs on one scale across every league, so two clubs’ runs can be compared directly. An opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side) prints a dash.

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
09-12Primeira LigaACasa Pia-1.02
09-20Primeira LigaHBenfica+0.75
10-10Primeira LigaAMaritimo-0.83
10-14UEFA Champions LeagueAReal Betis+0.41
10-24Primeira LigaAGil Vicente-0.59

Club news

What the daily news sweep recorded about this club.

DateTypeHeadline
09-03 Transfer inHjalte Froholdt — Porto signed defender Hjalte Froholdt on loan with an option to buy from Lyngby BK.
09-02 Transfer inGabriel Mec — Gabriel Mec signed for FC Porto from Gremio on a contract through June 2031.
09-01 Transfer outDeniz Gül — Deniz Gül joined Galatasaray on a permanent transfer from Porto.
08-27 Transfer outStephen Eustáquio — Stephen Eustáquio completed a transfer from Porto to Swansea City.

Club news is assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. It is descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and it is unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

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