Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Arouca

Primeira Liga
Rating-0.67
In league-0.25vs league average
Attack-0.32
Defence-0.35
Global rank116of 132 · ▲1 this week
League rank10of 18
Games priced145

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Arouca’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Arouca moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos8.4
Title–
Top 44%
Relegation–
Played9
Points17
Goals12–7+5
15101518

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-24Primeira LigaAAlverca0–1W
10-11Primeira LigaHEstrela1–0W
09-19Primeira LigaASp Lisbon2–2D
09-13Primeira LigaHSanta Clara1–2L
09-07Primeira LigaAEstoril0–0D
08-29Primeira LigaHMaritimo2–1W
08-23Primeira LigaAPorto2–0L
08-16Primeira LigaHMoreirense4–0W
08-08Primeira LigaAGuimaraes0–1W
05-16Primeira LigaHTondela3–1W
05-11Primeira LigaAGil Vicente1–3W
05-02Primeira LigaHSanta Clara2–2D
04-24Primeira LigaAAlverca2–1L
04-19Primeira LigaHEstrela1–0W
04-12Primeira LigaASp Braga1–0L

Latest 15 of 34 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
11-01Primeira LigaHNacional-0.86
11-06Primeira LigaAFamalicao-0.32
11-28Primeira LigaHRio Ave-0.85
12-06Primeira LigaASp Braga+0.09

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
09-04 Transfer inLeo Shahar — Arouca signed right-back Leo Shahar on a season-long loan from Newcastle United.
08-27 Transfer outVladislav Morozov — Vladislav Morozov completed a transfer from Arouca to Kolding IF.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.