Bayes FC

team ratings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Arouca

Primeira Liga
Rating-0.72
In league-0.25vs league average
Attack-0.34
Defence-0.38
Global rank118of 132 · ▼1 this week
League rank10of 18
Games priced141

Strength over time

Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, all relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league. A whole league moving up or down does not show here; see leagues for that. Dots are results. Marks along the foot are club news; they never move the rating.

-0.4-0.21 Feb30 May12 SepDWLWWWWDLWLWWLLLWLW
RatingAttackDefenceWin / draw / lossClub news

Season projection beta

Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker = more likely. Experimental — see methodology.

xPos9.1
Title
Top 42%
Relegation2%
Played5
Points10
Goals7–3+4
15101518

Recent results

Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating above has not seen it — the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
09-07Primeira LigaAEstoril0–0D
08-29Primeira LigaHMaritimo2–1W
08-23Primeira LigaAPorto2–0L
08-16Primeira LigaHMoreirense4–0W
08-08Primeira LigaAGuimaraes0–1W
05-16Primeira LigaHTondela3–1W
05-11Primeira LigaAGil Vicente1–3W
05-02Primeira LigaHSanta Clara2–2D
04-24Primeira LigaAAlverca2–1L
04-19Primeira LigaHEstrela1–0W
04-12Primeira LigaASp Braga1–0L
04-06Primeira LigaHEstoril3–2W
03-21Primeira LigaAMoreirense0–1W
03-14Primeira LigaHBenfica1–2L
03-06Primeira LigaAFamalicao1–0L

Showing the most recent 15 of 35 on record.

Upcoming

The next fixtures on the schedule, each shaded by how strong the opponent is — a darker cell is a harder game. The shading runs on one scale across every league, so two clubs’ runs can be compared directly. An opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side) prints a dash.

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
09-13Primeira LigaHSanta Clara-0.58
09-19Primeira LigaASp Lisbon+0.58
10-11Primeira LigaHEstrela-0.81
10-24Primeira LigaAAlverca-0.72

Club news

What the daily news sweep recorded about this club.

DateTypeHeadline
09-04 Transfer inLeo Shahar — Arouca signed right-back Leo Shahar on a season-long loan from Newcastle United.
08-27 Transfer outVladislav Morozov — Vladislav Morozov completed a transfer from Arouca to Kolding IF.

Club news is assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. It is descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and it is unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

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