Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Alverca

Primeira Liga
Rating-0.63
In league-0.20vs league average
Attack-0.34
Defence-0.28
Global rank115of 132
League rank9of 18
Games priced43

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Alverca’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Alverca moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos10.4
Title–
Top 41%
Relegation2%
Played9
Points11
Goals13–130
15101518

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-24Primeira LigaHArouca0–1L
10-12Primeira LigaAFamalicao1–4W
09-19Primeira LigaHRio Ave1–0W
09-12Primeira LigaANacional1–3W
09-05Primeira LigaHSp Braga1–2L
08-29Primeira LigaHSanta Clara1–1D
08-22Primeira LigaASp Lisbon3–1L
08-15Primeira LigaHEstrela2–2D
08-09Primeira LigaAPorto2–0L
05-16Primeira LigaAFamalicao1–0L
05-10Primeira LigaHEstoril1–1D
05-02Primeira LigaAPorto1–0L
04-24Primeira LigaHArouca2–1W
04-18Primeira LigaANacional1–0L
04-12Primeira LigaHCasa Pia3–1W

Latest 15 of 34 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
11-02Primeira LigaABenfica+0.78
11-07Primeira LigaHCasa Pia-0.99
11-28Primeira LigaAAcademico Viseu-0.69
12-06Primeira LigaHMoreirense-0.98

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-12 Transfer outMateus Mendes — Alverca terminated the contract of goalkeeper Mateus Mendes following an on-pitch physical assault on an opponent.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.