Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Nacional

Primeira Liga
Rating-0.86
In league-0.44vs league average
Attack-0.44
Defence-0.42
Global rank127of 132 · ▼3 this week
League rank16of 18
Games priced77

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Nacional’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Nacional moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos14.8
Title–
Top 4–
Relegation31%
Played9
Points7
Goals10–18-8
15101518

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-25Primeira LigaHSp Braga1–0W
10-11Primeira LigaARio Ave3–2L
09-19Primeira LigaHFamalicao0–4L
09-12Primeira LigaHAlverca1–3L
09-05Primeira LigaASp Lisbon2–0L
08-30Primeira LigaHEstrela2–3L
08-23Primeira LigaAGuimaraes1–0L
08-16Primeira LigaHEstoril2–0W
08-10Primeira LigaASanta Clara2–2D
05-16Primeira LigaHGuimaraes2–0W
05-11Primeira LigaASanta Clara2–0L
05-02Primeira LigaHAVS1–2L
04-25Primeira LigaATondela0–2W
04-18Primeira LigaHAlverca1–0W
04-12Primeira LigaABenfica2–0L

Latest 15 of 34 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
11-01Primeira LigaAArouca-0.67
11-07Primeira LigaHAcademico Viseu-0.69
11-27Primeira LigaAMaritimo-0.81
12-06Primeira LigaHBenfica+0.78

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-26 Manager inJoão Henriques — Nacional officially appointed and presented João Henriques as head coach until the end of the season.
10-21 Manager inJoão Henriques — João Henriques agreed to become the new head coach of Nacional following confirmation by club president Rui Alves.
10-20 Manager outAlexandre Santos — Nacional announced the departure of manager Alexandre Santos by mutual agreement.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.