Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Estrela

Primeira Liga
Rating-0.74
In league-0.32vs league average
Attack-0.38
Defence-0.36
Global rank121of 132
League rank13of 18
Games priced111

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / loss

Get Estrela’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Estrela moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos12.7
Title–
Top 4–
Relegation9%
Played9
Points10
Goals14–17-3
15101518

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-24Primeira LigaHCasa Pia0–2L
10-11Primeira LigaAArouca1–0L
09-20Primeira LigaHAcademico Viseu0–2L
09-14Primeira LigaARio Ave3–3D
09-10Primeira LigaHSp Braga2–1W
09-05Primeira LigaHFamalicao2–2D
08-30Primeira LigaANacional2–3W
08-15Primeira LigaAAlverca2–2D
08-08Primeira LigaHSp Lisbon2–2D
05-16Primeira LigaASp Braga2–2D
05-11Primeira LigaHFamalicao0–0D
05-02Primeira LigaAMoreirense3–2L
04-26Primeira LigaHPorto1–2L
04-19Primeira LigaAArouca1–0L
04-11Primeira LigaHSp Lisbon0–1L

Latest 15 of 34 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-31Primeira LigaAMoreirense-0.98
11-08Primeira LigaHBenfica+0.78
11-28Primeira LigaAGuimaraes-0.34
12-06Primeira LigaHGil Vicente-0.53

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

Nothing recorded in the last 365 days (collecting since ).