Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Sp Lisbon

Primeira Liga
Rating+0.52
In league+0.95vs league average
Attack+0.30
Defence+0.23
Global rank34of 132 · ▼4 this week
League rank3of 18
Games priced150

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Sp Lisbon’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Sp Lisbon moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos2.8
Title4%
Top 4100%
Relegation–
Played9
Points18
Goals21–11+10
15101518

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-25Primeira LigaHAcademico Viseu1–2L
10-21UEFA Champions LeagueHLASK Linz2–3L
10-13UEFA Champions LeagueALens0–2W
10-09Primeira LigaASp Braga1–3W
09-19Primeira LigaHArouca2–2D
09-13Primeira LigaAFamalicao1–1D
09-09UEFA Champions LeagueHGalatasaray Istanbul3–1W
09-05Primeira LigaHNacional2–0W
08-28Primeira LigaARio Ave0–4W
08-22Primeira LigaHAlverca3–1W
08-14Primeira LigaHGuimaraes3–2W
08-08Primeira LigaAEstrela2–2D
05-16Primeira LigaHGil Vicente3–0W
05-11Primeira LigaARio Ave1–4W
05-04Primeira LigaHGuimaraes5–1W

Latest 15 of 46 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-30Primeira LigaACasa Pia-0.99
11-03UEFA Champions LeagueAFC Shakhtar Donetsk–
11-07Primeira LigaHMoreirense-0.98
11-29Primeira LigaAPorto+0.59
12-06Primeira LigaHMaritimo-0.81

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
09-01 Transfer outPedro Gonçalves — Pedro Gonçalves joined Fiorentina on an initial loan deal with a purchase option from Sp Lisbon.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.