Bayes FC

team ratings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Sp Lisbon

Primeira Liga
Rating+0.58
In league+1.05vs league average
Attack+0.33
Defence+0.25
Global rank26of 132 · ▲1 this week
League rank2of 18
Games priced145

Strength over time

Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, all relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league. A whole league moving up or down does not show here; see leagues for that. Dots are results. Marks along the foot are club news; they never move the rating.

+0.5+1.01 Feb30 May12 SepWWWWDWWWDDLWWWDWWWDW
RatingAttackDefenceWin / draw / lossClub news

Season projection beta

Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker = more likely. Experimental — see methodology.

xPos2.1
Title26%
Top 4100%
Relegation
Played5
Points13
Goals14–5+9
15101518

Recent results

Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating above has not seen it — the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
09-05Primeira LigaHNacional2–0W
08-28Primeira LigaARio Ave0–4W
08-22Primeira LigaHAlverca3–1W
08-14Primeira LigaHGuimaraes3–2W
08-08Primeira LigaAEstrela2–2D
05-16Primeira LigaHGil Vicente3–0W
05-11Primeira LigaARio Ave1–4W
05-04Primeira LigaHGuimaraes5–1W
04-29Primeira LigaHTondela2–2D
04-26Primeira LigaAAVS1–1D
04-19Primeira LigaHBenfica1–2L
04-11Primeira LigaAEstrela0–1W
04-03Primeira LigaHSanta Clara4–2W
03-22Primeira LigaAAlverca1–4W
03-07Primeira LigaASp Braga2–2D

Showing the most recent 15 of 35 on record.

Upcoming

The next fixtures on the schedule, each shaded by how strong the opponent is — a darker cell is a harder game. The shading runs on one scale across every league, so two clubs’ runs can be compared directly. An opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side) prints a dash.

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
09-13Primeira LigaAFamalicao-0.34
09-19Primeira LigaHArouca-0.72
10-09Primeira LigaASp Braga+0.04
10-13UEFA Champions LeagueALens+0.51
10-25Primeira LigaHAcademico Viseu-0.84

Club news

What the daily news sweep recorded about this club.

DateTypeHeadline
09-01 Transfer outPedro Gonçalves — Pedro Gonçalves joined Fiorentina on an initial loan deal with a purchase option from Sp Lisbon.

Club news is assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. It is descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and it is unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

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