Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Casa Pia

Primeira Liga
Rating-0.99
In league-0.57vs league average
Attack-0.55
Defence-0.44
Global rank130of 132
League rank18of 18
Games priced145

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Casa Pia’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Casa Pia moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos15.7
Title–
Top 4–
Relegation46%
Played9
Points7
Goals5–17-12
15101518

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-24Primeira LigaAEstrela0–2W
10-10Primeira LigaHSanta Clara0–1L
09-20Primeira LigaAEstoril1–2W
09-12Primeira LigaHPorto1–4L
09-06Primeira LigaAGuimaraes0–0D
08-30Primeira LigaHMoreirense0–1L
08-24Primeira LigaAGil Vicente2–0L
08-17Primeira LigaHBenfica0–7L
08-08Primeira LigaAMaritimo1–0L
05-16Primeira LigaHRio Ave1–1D
05-11Primeira LigaAGuimaraes0–1W
05-03Primeira LigaHTondela0–1L
04-27Primeira LigaAGil Vicente2–1L
04-23Primeira LigaHSp Braga0–1L
04-18Primeira LigaHSanta Clara0–0D

Latest 15 of 34 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-30Primeira LigaHSp Lisbon+0.52
11-07Primeira LigaAAlverca-0.63
11-30Primeira LigaHSp Braga+0.09
12-06Primeira LigaARio Ave-0.85

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
09-04 Transfer inMohamed Salah El Boukammiri — Casa Pia registered the international transfer of forward Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.