Bayes FC

team ratings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Estoril

Primeira Liga
Rating-0.70
In league-0.23vs league average
Attack-0.29
Defence-0.41
Global rank117of 132 · ▼1 this week
League rank9of 18
Games priced141

Strength over time

Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, all relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league. A whole league moving up or down does not show here; see leagues for that. Dots are results. Marks along the foot are club news; they never move the rating.

-0.2+0.01 Feb30 May12 SepDLLLDLDDLLLLLWDLWLD
RatingAttackDefenceWin / draw / lossClub news

Season projection beta

Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker = more likely. Experimental — see methodology.

xPos12.8
Title
Top 4
Relegation15%
Played5
Points2
Goals2–7-5
15101518

Recent results

Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating above has not seen it — the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
09-07Primeira LigaHArouca0–0D
08-31Primeira LigaABenfica2–1L
08-22Primeira LigaHRio Ave0–2L
08-16Primeira LigaANacional2–0L
08-07Primeira LigaHFamalicao1–1D
05-16Primeira LigaHBenfica1–3L
05-10Primeira LigaAAlverca1–1D
05-03Primeira LigaASp Braga1–1D
04-26Primeira LigaHFamalicao0–1L
04-20Primeira LigaAMoreirense1–0L
04-12Primeira LigaHPorto1–3L
04-06Primeira LigaAArouca3–2L
03-22Primeira LigaHRio Ave1–2L
03-15Primeira LigaANacional0–1W
03-07Primeira LigaHCasa Pia0–0D

Showing the most recent 15 of 35 on record.

Upcoming

The next fixtures on the schedule, each shaded by how strong the opponent is — a darker cell is a harder game. The shading runs on one scale across every league, so two clubs’ runs can be compared directly. An opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side) prints a dash.

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
09-14Primeira LigaASp Braga+0.04
09-20Primeira LigaHCasa Pia-1.02
10-10Primeira LigaAAcademico Viseu-0.84
10-25Primeira LigaHMoreirense-1.00

Club news

What the daily news sweep recorded about this club.

DateTypeHeadline
09-03 Transfer inAxel Camblan — Estoril signed winger Axel Camblan on a permanent three-year contract.

Club news is assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. It is descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and it is unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

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