Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

PSV Eindhoven

Eredivisie
Rating+0.27
In league+0.73vs league average
Attack+0.29
Defence-0.02
Global rank49of 132 · ▲4 this week
League rank1of 18
Games priced150

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get PSV Eindhoven’s moves every week.

One email a week: where PSV Eindhoven moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

Powered by Buttondown.

Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos2.3
Title32%
Top 494%
Relegation–
Played10
Points20
Goals28–13+15
15101518

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-25EredivisieHFeyenoord1–1D
10-20UEFA Champions LeagueAPorto0–1W
10-17EredivisieADen Haag2–1L
10-13UEFA Champions LeagueARB Leipzig1–0L
10-09EredivisieHHeerenveen2–0W
09-20EredivisieATwente3–2L
09-13EredivisieHSparta Rotterdam4–1W
09-10UEFA Champions LeagueHFC Shakhtar Donetsk1–1D
09-05EredivisieAAjax1–3W
08-30EredivisieAUtrecht1–6W
08-23EredivisieHGroningen5–1W
08-15EredivisieAExcelsior1–2W
08-08EredivisieHFor Sittard2–2D
05-17EredivisieHTwente5–1W
05-10EredivisieAGo Ahead Eagles1–4W

Latest 15 of 42 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-31EredivisieHWillem II-1.13
11-04UEFA Champions LeagueHClub Brugge–
11-08EredivisieACambuur-1.00
11-21EredivisieANijmegen-0.35
11-28EredivisieHGo Ahead Eagles-0.50
12-05EredivisieAAZ Alkmaar+0.02

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-17 InjuryGuus Til — Guus Til suffered a head injury and was substituted in the first half against ADO Den Haag.
10-17 SuspensionSven Mijnans — Sven Mijnans received a red card against ADO Den Haag resulting in a suspension.
09-25 InjuryLutsharel Geertruida — Lutsharel Geertruida withdrew from international duty and returned to PSV Eindhoven after suffering a minor injury.
09-22 InjuryRicardo Pepi — Ricardo Pepi suffered an injury and will miss upcoming matches for PSV Eindhoven.
09-20 InjuryRicardo Pepi — Ricardo Pepi suffered an injury during PSV's match against FC Twente and was withdrawn from international duty.
09-04 Transfer inMikkel Bro Hansen — PSV signed Danish forward Mikkel Bro Hansen from Bodo/Glimt on a three-year contract.
09-02 Transfer inSam Lammers — Sam Lammers completes a permanent transfer to PSV Eindhoven from Twente.
09-02 Transfer outJoel van den Berg — Joel van den Berg signs for Celtic from PSV Eindhoven.
09-02 ContractAmir Bouhamdi — Amir Bouhamdi signs a contract extension with PSV Eindhoven until 2031.
09-01 Transfer inSami Ouaissa — PSV Eindhoven signed winger Sami Ouaissa from Nijmegen.
08-25 Transfer outCouhaib Driouech — Couhaib Driouech completes a permanent transfer to Celta de Vigo.
08-21 Transfer inLutsharel Geertruida — PSV Eindhoven signed Lutsharel Geertruida on loan from RB Leipzig with an option to make the move permanent.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.