Bayes FC

team ratings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Ajax

Eredivisie
Rating+0.13
In league+0.53vs league average
Attack+0.12
Defence+0.01
Global rank63of 132 · ▲1 this week
League rank4of 18
Games priced141

Strength over time

Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, all relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league. A whole league moving up or down does not show here; see leagues for that. Dots are results. Marks along the foot are club news; they never move the rating.

+0.2+0.41 Feb30 May12 SepLWDWDLDWWLDWLDDWDD
RatingAttackDefenceWin / draw / lossClub news

Season projection beta

Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker = more likely. Experimental — see methodology.

xPos3.8
Title5%
Top 465%
Relegation
Played4
Points7
Goals9–5+4
15101518

Recent results

Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating above has not seen it — the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
09-05EredivisieHPSV Eindhoven1–3L
08-30EredivisieATelstar0–4W
08-16EredivisieHHeerenveen2–2D
08-09EredivisieAZwolle0–2W
05-17EredivisieAHeerenveen0–0D
05-10EredivisieHUtrecht1–2L
05-02EredivisieHPSV Eindhoven2–2D
04-25EredivisieANAC Breda0–2W
04-11EredivisieAHeracles0–3W
04-04EredivisieHTwente1–2L
03-22EredivisieAFeyenoord1–1D
03-14EredivisieHSparta Rotterdam4–0W
03-07EredivisieAGroningen3–1L
03-01EredivisieAZwolle0–0D
02-21EredivisieHNijmegen1–1D

Showing the most recent 15 of 34 on record.

Upcoming

The next fixtures on the schedule, each shaded by how strong the opponent is — a darker cell is a harder game. The shading runs on one scale across every league, so two clubs’ runs can be compared directly. An opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side) prints a dash.

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
09-12EredivisieAFor Sittard-0.80
09-15EredivisieHWillem II-1.07
09-19EredivisieHExcelsior-0.60
10-10EredivisieHNijmegen-0.20
10-15UEFA Europa Conference LeagueAHNK Hajduk Split
10-18EredivisieAGroningen-0.36
10-25EredivisieASparta Rotterdam-0.58

Club news

What the daily news sweep recorded about this club.

DateTypeHeadline
09-08 InjuryAaron Bouwman — Aaron Bouwman was ruled out through September after suffering a bruised lung and bruised sternum against PSV.
09-02 Transfer inSimon Adingra — Simon Adingra joins Ajax on loan with an option to buy from Sunderland.
09-02 Transfer inThilo Kehrer — Thilo Kehrer signs for Ajax on a season-long loan from AS Monaco.
09-01 Transfer inThilo Kehrer — Ajax signed defender Thilo Kehrer on loan from Monaco.
09-01 Transfer inSimon Adingra — Ajax signed winger Simon Adingra from Sunderland.
08-30 Transfer inSofyan Amrabat — Ajax signed midfielder Sofyan Amrabat on a free transfer until June 2028 following the termination of his contract at Fenerbahce.
08-27 Transfer inViktor Tsygankov — Ajax sign Ukrainian winger Viktor Tsygankov from Girona on a contract until June 2029.
08-27 Transfer outTristan Gooijer — Ajax complete the permanent transfer of defender Tristan Gooijer to Belgian side Lommel SK.
08-22 Transfer outJosip Šutalo — Josip Šutalo joined SS Lazio on a season-long loan with an option to buy.

Club news is assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. It is descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and it is unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

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