Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

AZ Alkmaar

Eredivisie
Rating+0.02
In league+0.48vs league average
Attack+0.06
Defence-0.04
Global rank70of 132 · ▲11 this week
League rank5of 18
Games priced147

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get AZ Alkmaar’s moves every week.

One email a week: where AZ Alkmaar moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos4.3
Title3%
Top 451%
Relegation–
Played10
Points20
Goals20–12+8
15101518

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-25EredivisieHTwente0–2L
10-22UEFA Europa LeagueAFC Ararat-Armenia0–4W
10-18EredivisieACambuur2–2D
10-15UEFA Europa LeagueHHapoel Be'ernot priced yet2–1W
10-10EredivisieAFeyenoord2–0L
09-20EredivisieHTelstar1–0W
09-16UEFA Europa LeagueASunderland1–0L
09-11EredivisieHWillem II1–1D
09-06EredivisieAHeerenveen2–3W
08-29EredivisieHGo Ahead Eagles5–2W
08-22EredivisieAFor Sittard0–2W
08-15EredivisieAUtrecht1–4W
08-08EredivisieHDen Haag2–0W
05-17EredivisieHNAC Breda3–3D
05-10EredivisieAFeyenoord1–1D

Latest 15 of 47 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-31EredivisieAAjax+0.18
11-05UEFA Europa LeagueHJuventus+0.80
11-08EredivisieHGroningen-0.42
11-22EredivisieASparta Rotterdam-0.68
11-29EredivisieAZwolle-0.87
12-05EredivisieHPSV Eindhoven+0.27

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-25 SuspensionAyoub Oufkir — Ayoub Oufkir picked up a milestone yellow card against FC Twente, ruling him out of the upcoming match against Ajax through suspension.
10-19 ContractKees Smit — Kees Smit signs a contract extension with AZ Alkmaar until 2030.
09-03 Transfer outIbrahim Sadiq — AZ Alkmaar transferred winger Ibrahim Sadiq to MLS club Colorado Rapids.
09-01 Transfer inValdemar Byskov — AZ Alkmaar signed midfielder Valdemar Byskov from FC Midtjylland.
08-20 learnedTransfer outTroy Parrott — Troy Parrott completed a permanent transfer to Real Betis.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.