Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Atalanta

Serie A
Rating+0.31
In league+0.14vs league average
Attack+0.21
Defence+0.09
Global rank43of 132 · ▲2 this week
League rank7of 20
Games priced166

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

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One email a week: where Atalanta moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos8.7
Title–
Top 42%
Relegation–
Played8
Points10
Goals14–15-1
15101520

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-25Serie AHFrosinone4–4D
10-22UEFA Europa Conference LeagueAAjax2–0L
10-18Serie AAAC Milan3–2L
10-15UEFA Europa Conference LeagueHPafos FC3–1W
10-12Serie AHVenezia3–1W
09-20Serie AAJuventus2–0L
09-12Serie AHCagliari1–2L
09-05Serie AARoma2–1L
08-31Serie AHBologna1–0W
08-23Serie AHSassuolo2–1W
05-22Serie AAFiorentina1–1D
05-17Serie AHBologna0–1L
05-10Serie AAAC Milan2–3W
05-02Serie AHGenoa0–0D
04-27Serie AACagliari3–2L

Latest 15 of 49 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-29Serie AAFiorentina+0.19
11-02Serie AHParma-0.46
11-08Serie AAMonza-0.26
11-22Serie AHInter+0.95
11-30Serie AALecce-0.37
12-06Serie AALazio+0.23

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-25 InjuryRaoul Bellanova — Raoul Bellanova suffered an injury against Frosinone and underwent treatment ahead of diagnostic tests.
10-20 InjurySead Kolašinac — Sead Kolašinac suffered a left quadriceps muscle strain.
10-18 InjurySead Kolašinac — Sead Kolašinac suffered a calf injury and was substituted in the 20th minute against AC Milan.
10-17 InjuryGiacomo Raspadori — Giacomo Raspadori suffered a low-grade biceps femoris strain in his right thigh.
10-15 InjuryGiacomo Raspadori — Giacomo Raspadori was substituted with a thigh injury during the match against Pafos.
10-13 SuspensionEljif Elmas — Eljif Elmas was handed a one-match suspension following his expulsion against Venezia.
09-01 Transfer inJonathan Rowe — Jonathan Rowe signed with Atalanta from Bologna.
09-01 Transfer outIbrahim Sulemana — Ibrahim Sulemana joined Sassuolo on loan from Atalanta.
08-30 Transfer outMarten de Roon — Marten de Roon completed a permanent transfer to Roma.
08-22 Transfer inEljif Elmas — Atalanta have signed midfielder Eljif Elmas on loan from RB Leipzig.
08-20 InjuryGiorgio Scalvini — Giorgio Scalvini suffered an injury and was substituted in the 26th minute against Hapoel Tel Aviv.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.