Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Fiorentina

Serie A
Rating+0.19
In league+0.02vs league average
Attack+0.12
Defence+0.06
Global rank59of 132 · ▲1 this week
League rank9of 20
Games priced162

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Fiorentina’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Fiorentina moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos11.9
Title–
Top 4–
Relegation4%
Played8
Points4
Goals9–19-10
15101520

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-25Serie AAInter2–1L
10-18Serie AHComo1–3L
10-10Serie AAGenoa2–1L
09-20Serie AHNapoli1–1D
09-11Serie AAVenezia2–4W
09-05Serie AHTorino1–2L
08-29Serie AHFrosinone0–3L
08-24Serie AARoma4–0L
05-22Serie AHAtalanta1–1D
05-17Serie AAJuventus0–2W
05-10Serie AHGenoa0–0D
05-04Serie AARoma4–0L
04-26Serie AHSassuolo0–0D
04-20Serie AALecce1–1D
04-16UEFA Europa Conference LeagueHCrystal Palace2–1W

Latest 15 of 48 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-29Serie AHAtalanta+0.31
11-02Serie AASassuolo-0.05
11-08Serie AHJuventus+0.80
11-23Serie AAMonza-0.26
11-29Serie AAUdinese-0.12
12-07Serie AHCagliari-0.23

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-16 InjuryArthur Atta — Arthur Atta was ruled out of the Como match due to an abdominal injury.
10-13 InjuryFranco Mastantuono — Franco Mastantuono underwent minor outpatient surgery to repair a fractured fourth metacarpal in his left hand.
10-06 ContractLuca Ranieri — Luca Ranieri agreed to a contract extension through June 2029 with an option for an additional year.
09-18 InjuryChrist Inao Oulaï — Christ Inao Oulaï is sidelined with muscular problems.
09-05 InjuryChrist Inao Oulai — Christ Inao Oulai suffered an injury during the match against Torino and was forced off in the 24th minute.
09-01 Transfer outMoise Kean — Moise Kean joined Como on loan from Fiorentina.
09-01 Transfer outAlbert Guðmundsson — Albert Guðmundsson joined Lazio on loan from Fiorentina.
09-01 Transfer inBeto — Beto signed with Fiorentina from Everton.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.