Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Lecce

Serie A
Rating-0.37
In league-0.53vs league average
Attack-0.25
Defence-0.11
Global rank106of 132
League rank19of 20
Games priced160

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Lecce’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Lecce moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

Powered by Buttondown.

Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos16.5
Title–
Top 4–
Relegation43%
Played8
Points9
Goals9–14-5
15101520

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-25Serie AHJuventus0–2L
10-18Serie AAUdinese0–3W
10-11Serie AHBologna1–2L
09-20Serie AAAC Milan3–0L
09-13Serie AHMonza3–2W
09-07Serie AACagliari1–0L
08-31Serie AHRoma0–4L
08-23Serie AAVenezia0–2W
05-24Serie AHGenoa1–0W
05-17Serie AASassuolo2–3W
05-09Serie AHJuventus0–1L
05-01Serie AAPisa1–2W
04-25Serie AAVerona0–0D
04-20Serie AHFiorentina1–1D
04-12Serie AABologna2–0L

Latest 15 of 38 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-29Serie AAFrosinone-0.09
11-01Serie AHGenoa-0.09
11-07Serie AATorino-0.11
11-21Serie AALazio+0.23
11-30Serie AHAtalanta+0.31
12-05Serie AANapoli+0.54

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-25 SuspensionKialonda Gaspar — Kialonda Gaspar received a red card for dissent in stoppage time against Juventus.
10-22 InjurySantiago Pierotti — Santiago Pierotti missed team training due to a contusive trauma to his left ankle.
09-01 Transfer inJoël Monteiro — Joël Monteiro signed with Lecce from Young Boys.
08-31 Transfer inJoel Monteiro — Lecce have signed winger Joel Monteiro from BSC Young Boys on a permanent deal.
08-27 Transfer inIvan Ilic — Lecce signed midfielder Ivan Ilic on loan from Torino with an option to make the move permanent.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.