Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Excelsior

Eredivisie
Rating-0.70
In league-0.24vs league average
Attack-0.34
Defence-0.35
Global rank120of 132
League rank12of 18
Games priced112

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / loss

Get Excelsior’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Excelsior moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos12.1
Title–
Top 4–
Relegation3%
Played10
Points11
Goals16–19-3
15101518

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-25EredivisieAFor Sittard1–0L
10-16EredivisieAHeerenveen4–0L
10-11EredivisieHGroningen1–5L
09-19EredivisieAAjax2–2D
09-13EredivisieHUtrecht1–2L
09-08EredivisieANijmegen2–2D
09-05EredivisieAWillem II0–3W
08-29EredivisieHSparta Rotterdam2–1W
08-15EredivisieHPSV Eindhoven1–2L
08-07EredivisieACambuur0–4W
05-17EredivisieASparta Rotterdam2–3W
05-10EredivisieHVolendam1–1D
05-02EredivisieAGroningen2–3W
04-26EredivisieHUtrecht5–0W
04-12EredivisieAZwolle2–2D

Latest 15 of 34 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
11-01EredivisieHTwente+0.13
11-07EredivisieHGo Ahead Eagles-0.50
11-21EredivisieAFeyenoord+0.25
11-28EredivisieHTelstar-0.82
12-06EredivisieADen Haag-0.83

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

Nothing recorded in the last 365 days (collecting since ).