Bayes FC

team ratings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Real Madrid

La Liga
Rating+1.24
In league+0.89vs league average
Attack+0.74
Defence+0.50
Global rank5of 132
League rank2of 20
Games priced165

Strength over time

Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, all relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league. A whole league moving up or down does not show here; see leagues for that. Dots are results. Marks along the foot are club news; they never move the rating.

+0.51 Feb30 May12 SepLWWWWWWLWDWDLWWWLLWWW
RatingAttackDefenceWin / draw / lossClub news

Season projection beta

Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker = more likely. Experimental — see methodology.

xPos1.8
Title25%
Top 4100%
Relegation
Played4
Points9
Goals10–3+7
15101520

Recent results

Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating above has not seen it — the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
09-04La LigaAReal Betis1–0L
08-30La LigaHMalaga4–0W
08-26La LigaHReal Sociedad4–1W
08-22La LigaAEspanyol1–2W
05-23La LigaHAthletic Bilbao4–2W
05-17La LigaASevilla0–1W
05-14La LigaHOviedo2–0W
05-10La LigaABarcelona2–0L
05-03La LigaAEspanyol0–2W
04-24La LigaAReal Betis1–1D
04-21La LigaHAlaves2–1W
04-10La LigaHGirona1–1D
04-04La LigaAMallorca2–1L
03-22La LigaHAtletico Madrid3–2W
03-14La LigaHElche4–1W

Showing the most recent 15 of 39 on record.

Upcoming

The next fixtures on the schedule, each shaded by how strong the opponent is — a darker cell is a harder game. The shading runs on one scale across every league, so two clubs’ runs can be compared directly. An opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side) prints a dash.

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
09-12La LigaHRayo Vallecano+0.20
09-15La LigaAElche+0.00
09-20La LigaAAtletico Madrid+0.77
10-11La LigaHVillarreal+0.51
10-14UEFA Champions LeagueARoma+0.70
10-18La LigaHSevilla+0.23
10-25La LigaABarcelona+1.32

Club news

What the daily news sweep recorded about this club.

DateTypeHeadline
09-06 ReturnAurélien Tchouaméni — Aurélien Tchouaméni returned to group training following an injury.
09-05 learnedInjuryMarc Cucurella — Marc Cucurella suffered a muscle injury against Real Betis.
08-31 Transfer inSergio Martínez — Real Madrid completed the signing of Sergio Martínez after triggering his release clause.
08-29 learnedTransfer inSergio Martínez — Real Madrid completed the signing of Sergio Martínez from Racing Santander.

Club news is assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. It is descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and it is unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

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