Bayes FC

team ratings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Elche

La Liga
Rating+0.00
In league-0.35vs league average
Attack-0.02
Defence+0.02
Global rank77of 132 · ▲4 this week
League rank19of 20
Games priced80

Strength over time

Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, all relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league. A whole league moving up or down does not show here; see leagues for that. Dots are results. Marks along the foot are club news; they never move the rating.

-0.4-0.2+0.01 Feb30 May12 SepLLLDDWLDLWWWLWLLDLDL
RatingAttackDefenceWin / draw / lossClub news

Season projection beta

Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker = more likely. Experimental — see methodology.

xPos17.0
Title
Top 4
Relegation56%
Played4
Points1
Goals5–12-7
15101520

Recent results

Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating above has not seen it — the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
09-07La LigaHReal Sociedad2–3L
08-28La LigaASantander3–2L
08-23La LigaHBarcelona0–5L
08-17La LigaALa Coruna1–1D
05-23La LigaAGirona1–1D
05-17La LigaHGetafe1–0W
05-12La LigaAReal Betis2–1L
05-09La LigaHAlaves1–1D
05-03La LigaACelta Vigo3–1L
04-26La LigaAOviedo1–2W
04-22La LigaHAtletico Madrid3–2W
04-11La LigaHValencia1–0W
04-03La LigaARayo Vallecano1–0L
03-21La LigaHMallorca2–1W
03-14La LigaAReal Madrid4–1L

Showing the most recent 15 of 39 on record.

Upcoming

The next fixtures on the schedule, each shaded by how strong the opponent is — a darker cell is a harder game. The shading runs on one scale across every league, so two clubs’ runs can be compared directly. An opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side) prints a dash.

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
09-12La LigaAAthletic Bilbao+0.55
09-15La LigaHReal Madrid+1.24
09-18La LigaAEspanyol+0.17
10-11La LigaHCelta Vigo+0.35
10-18La LigaAVillarreal+0.51
10-25La LigaARayo Vallecano+0.20

Club news

What the daily news sweep recorded about this club.

DateTypeHeadline
09-01 Transfer outDavid Affengruber — Elche sold defender David Affengruber to Fulham.

Club news is assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. It is descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and it is unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

← All clubs · Global ladder

The market knows first. Now so do you.

Betting markets are the most accurate predictor in football. We distill them into team ratings and email you who’s climbing and who’s quietly falling.

Powered by Buttondown.