Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Villarreal

La Liga
Rating+0.54
In league+0.21vs league average
Attack+0.33
Defence+0.21
Global rank32of 132 · ▲2 this week
League rank5of 20
Games priced167

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Villarreal’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Villarreal moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos7.3
Title–
Top 411%
Relegation–
Played10
Points12
Goals15–14+1
15101520

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-24La LigaAValencia1–2W
10-20UEFA Champions LeagueALiverpool4–3L
10-17La LigaHElche0–0D
10-13UEFA Champions LeagueHNapoli3–1W
10-10La LigaAReal Madrid1–0L
09-20La LigaHLevante3–1W
09-17La LigaAMalaga1–3W
09-14La LigaHReal Betis1–2L
09-08UEFA Champions LeagueADortmund3–2L
09-05La LigaHLa Coruna2–3L
08-28La LigaAAlaves1–0L
08-23La LigaAAtletico Madrid2–2D
08-16La LigaASantander2–2D
05-24La LigaHAtletico Madrid5–1W
05-17La LigaARayo Vallecano2–0L

Latest 15 of 46 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-30La LigaHEspanyol+0.11
11-03UEFA Champions LeagueHParis SG+1.13
11-08La LigaHGetafe-0.00
11-22La LigaABarcelona+1.39
11-29La LigaACelta Vigo+0.30
12-06La LigaHReal Sociedad+0.37

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-24 SuspensionPape Gueye — Pape Gueye was shown a straight red card for violent conduct against Valencia.
08-26 Transfer outWilly Kambwala — Willy Kambwala joined Como on loan from Villarreal.
08-25 Transfer inNathan Saliba — Villarreal confirmed the signing of midfielder Nathan Saliba from Anderlecht.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.