Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Valencia

La Liga
Rating+0.13
In league-0.20vs league average
Attack-0.02
Defence+0.16
Global rank62of 132 · ▲2 this week
League rank12of 20
Games priced162

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Valencia’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Valencia moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos15.2
Title–
Top 4–
Relegation30%
Played10
Points6
Goals7–17-10
15101520

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-24La LigaHVillarreal1–2L
10-17La LigaHAthletic Bilbao0–0D
10-11La LigaASantander2–2D
09-20La LigaHReal Sociedad2–3L
09-15La LigaAAlaves0–1W
09-11La LigaASevilla1–0L
09-06La LigaHBarcelona0–5L
08-30La LigaALa Coruna3–1L
08-25La LigaHReal Betis0–1L
08-22La LigaHCelta Vigo0–0D
05-23La LigaHBarcelona3–1W
05-17La LigaAReal Sociedad3–4W
05-14La LigaHRayo Vallecano1–1D
05-10La LigaAAthletic Bilbao0–1W
05-02La LigaHAtletico Madrid0–2L

Latest 15 of 38 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
11-01La LigaAElche-0.05
11-07La LigaHReal Madrid+1.27
11-21La LigaARayo Vallecano+0.19
11-29La LigaHOsasuna+0.09
12-06La LigaAGetafe-0.00

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-24 InjuryDavid Otorbi — David Otorbi suffered a severe hamstring injury and was stretchered off in the first half against Villarreal.
10-24 SuspensionHarvey Elliott — Harvey Elliott was sent off after receiving two consecutive yellow cards for dissent against Villarreal.
09-28 learnedManager inJavier Aguirre — Javier Aguirre is appointed manager of Valencia.
09-23 Manager inJavier Aguirre — Valencia appointed Javier Aguirre as head coach.
09-13 Manager outCarlos Corberán — Valencia sack manager Carlos Corberán following a winless start to the season.
09-09 InjuryMouctar Diakhaby — Mouctar Diakhaby suffered an adductor longus muscle injury in his left leg.
09-01 Transfer inHarvey Elliott — Valencia signed midfielder Harvey Elliott on a season-long loan from Liverpool.
08-26 Transfer inArnau Martinez — Valencia completed the signing of Arnau Martinez from Girona for 5 million euros.
08-26 learnedTransfer inKayne van Oevelen — Kayne van Oevelen joined Valencia on loan from Ipswich Town.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.