Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Rayo Vallecano

La Liga
Rating+0.19
In league-0.14vs league average
Attack+0.03
Defence+0.16
Global rank58of 132 · ▼4 this week
League rank11of 20
Games priced164

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Rayo Vallecano’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Rayo Vallecano moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos12.4
Title–
Top 4–
Relegation9%
Played9
Points9
Goals12–20-8
15101520

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-24La LigaHElche0–3L
10-19La LigaAGetafe1–1D
09-19La LigaAOsasuna1–1D
09-15La LigaHEspanyol2–1W
09-12La LigaAReal Madrid4–1L
09-05La LigaHSantander3–2W
08-31La LigaABarcelona5–2L
08-20La LigaHAlaves1–1D
08-15La LigaASevilla2–1L
05-27UEFA Europa Conference LeagueACrystal Palace1–0L
05-23La LigaAAlaves1–2W
05-17La LigaHVillarreal2–0W
05-14La LigaAValencia1–1D
05-11La LigaHGirona1–1D
05-07UEFA Europa Conference LeagueAStrasbourg0–1W

Latest 15 of 48 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
10-31La LigaHCelta Vigo+0.30
11-08La LigaAReal Sociedad+0.37
11-21La LigaHValencia+0.13
11-29La LigaAReal Betis+0.47
12-06La LigaHLevante+0.00

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-14 SuspensionThe Spanish Football Federation ordered a one-match partial stadium closure and a fine for Rayo Vallecano following incidents during the match against Athletic Club.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.