Bayes FC

football power rankings from the betting market
ratings as of · last rebuilt

Liverpool

Premier League
Rating+1.09
In league+0.38vs league average
Attack+0.59
Defence+0.49
Global rank7of 132
League rank3of 20
Games priced165

Strength over time
Rating, attack and defence after each daily fit, relative to the league average — zero is an average club in this league; a whole league moving does not show here (see Leagues). Dots are results; marks along the foot are club news, which never moves the rating. Drag to pan, pinch or shift-scroll to zoom, or use the slider; click a legend entry to hide a line.

Win / draw / lossNews

Get Liverpool’s moves every week.

One email a week: where Liverpool moved on the ladder, what it cost them, and what the next fixture is worth.

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Season projection beta
Where the club is likely to finish, from simulating the rest of the season on the current ratings. The strip is the chance of each finishing position, 1st on the left, darker more likely. Experimental — see the methodology.

xPos4.0
Title2%
Top 473%
Relegation–
Played8
Points15
Goals11–8+3
15101520

Recent results
Every played match on record, from either feed. A match marked not priced yet has a scoreline but no closing price, so the rating has not seen it: the score arrives within a day, the price a few days later.

DateCompetitionOpponentScore
10-25Premier LeagueHBrighton2–0W
10-20UEFA Champions LeagueHVillarreal4–3W
10-17Premier LeagueABrentford1–2W
10-14UEFA Champions LeagueALASK Linz3–6W
10-11Premier LeagueHManchester City0–3L
09-20Premier LeagueABournemouth0–1W
09-12Premier LeagueHFulham0–0D
09-09UEFA Champions LeagueHAtletico Madrid2–1W
09-04Premier LeagueAIpswich0–2W
08-29Premier LeagueHNottingham Forest2–2D
08-23Premier LeagueANewcastle2–2D
05-24Premier LeagueHBrentford1–1D
05-15Premier LeagueAAston Villa4–2L
05-09Premier LeagueHChelsea1–1D
05-03Premier LeagueAManchester Utd3–2L

Latest 15 of 49 on record

Upcoming
The next fixtures, each shaded by the opponent's published rating — darker is a harder game, on one scale across every league. A dash is an opponent with no published rating (a lower-division cup side).

DateCompetitionOpponentOpp rating
11-01Premier LeagueHArsenal+1.50
11-04UEFA Champions LeagueAFenerbahce Istanbul–
11-08Premier LeagueACrystal Palace+0.41
11-22Premier LeagueHManchester Utd+0.85
11-29Premier LeagueAEverton+0.59
12-02Premier LeagueHSunderland+0.50
12-05Premier LeagueAChelsea+1.01

Club news
Assembled automatically once a day by a language model reading public reporting. Descriptive only — nothing here moves a rating — and unverified: read an item as a lead, not a fact. A date marked learned is the day we picked the item up, not necessarily the day it happened. What news can explain is why the market repriced a club, which is upstream of the number.

DateTypeHeadline
10-17 InjuryDominik Szoboszlai — Dominik Szoboszlai was substituted in the 32nd minute after sustaining an injury against Brentford.
10-11 SuspensionRyan Gravenberch — Ryan Gravenberch received a red card for two bookable offences against Manchester City, incurring a suspension.
10-09 InjuryAlexander Isak — Alexander Isak was ruled out of Liverpool's match against Manchester City due to a thigh injury sustained on international duty.
10-09 InjuryCody Gakpo — Cody Gakpo was ruled out of Liverpool's match against Manchester City with an ankle injury suffered on international duty.
10-07 learnedInjuryAlexander Isak — Alexander Isak was confirmed as an injury doubt with a thigh issue following his return from international duty.
10-07 learnedInjuryCody Gakpo — Cody Gakpo was confirmed as an injury doubt with an ankle problem sustained on international duty.
09-27 InjuryAlexander Isak — Alexander Isak returned from international duty after sustaining an injury with Sweden.
09-27 InjuryCody Gakpo — Cody Gakpo sustained an ankle injury while playing for the Netherlands.
09-01 Transfer outHarvey Elliott — Harvey Elliott joined Valencia on loan.
09-01 Transfer inLucca Brughmans — Lucca Brughmans signed for Liverpool.
08-22 Transfer outCurtis Jones — Curtis Jones completed a permanent transfer from Liverpool to Inter Milan.
08-22 Transfer outIfeanyi Ndukwe — Ifeanyi Ndukwe joined Levante on loan for the season.

Automated and unverified — a lead, not a fact.